Quote:
Originally Posted by Old Gringo
Trumplings: "Nobody looks at the polls after Nov 8th!" .
But the following pay close attention to those polls:
World leaders
Senators
Congressmen
PACs
Lobbyists
Wall Street
Governors
And most of all, tRump himself. How many dozens of times during the campaign did he cite poll numbers when they were favorable to him?
What's that Donny?
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The cultists can yammer on about how polls are fake news, blah, blah, blah, but I can ASSURE you that Republican Congressmen and Senators are watching them very very closely. It's telling that Trump had only tweeted about the polls a couple times since his election. Even he is not dumb enough to call attention to his approval ratings through some tweet.
When you look at historical precedent, there has often been a backlash at midterm against the President's party. Take a look at the President's party midterm election losses in previous elections. Why would anyone actually believe the Republicans won't get hammered in the House in 2018?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United...dterm_election
House / Senate loss or gain of seats during midterm election
2014 Barack Obama Democratic D-13 D-9
2010 Barack Obama Democratic D-63 D-6
2006 George W. Bush Republican R-30 R-6
2002 George W. Bush Republican R+8 R+2
1998 Bill Clinton Democratic D+5 0
1994 Bill Clinton Democratic D-54 D-8
1990 George H. W. Bush Republican R-8 R-1
1986 Ronald Reagan Republican R-5 R-8
1982 Ronald Reagan Republican R-26 0
1978 Jimmy Carter Democratic D-15 D-3
1974 Gerald Ford Republican R-48 R-4
1970 Richard Nixon Republican R-12 R+1
Edited this to add the approval rating and the seats won or lost for the recent sitting Presidents. Lesson learned is that Presidents with approval ratings below 50% are in a world of hurt as far as losing seats.
Percent approval at midterm election is followed by number of seats won or lost:
1998 Clinton Democrat 66 5
1986 Reagan Republican 63 -5
2002 G. W. Bush Republican 63 6
1954 Eisenhower Republican 61 -4
1962 Kennedy Democrat 61 -4
1970 Nixon Republican 58 -12
1990 G. H. W. Bush Republican 58 -8
1958 Eisenhower Republican 57 -47
1974 Ford Republican 54 -43
1978 Carter Democrat 49 -11
1994 Clinton Democrat 46 -53
2010 Obama Democrat 45 -63
1966 Johnson Democrat 44 -47
1982 Reagan Republican 42 -28
1950 Truman Democrat 39 -29
2006 G. W. Bush Republican 38 -30
1946 Truman Democrat 33 -55