A Pentagon study declares American empire is ‘collapsing’ and says we are entering a 3rd post-WW2 period they call "Post-Primacy".
The threats are both military and intelligence (gray wars, fake news, election hacking, swaying opinions...)
..."… the U.S. homeland, individual American citizens, and U.S. public opinion and perceptions will increasingly become battlefields.”
The Pentagon study's main suggestion is, not surprisingly, more US military power.
"All states and traditional political authority structures are under increasing pressure from endogenous and exogenous forces… The fracturing of the post-Cold War global system is accompanied by the internal fraying in the political, social, and economic fabric of practically all states.”
Revolutionary forces, Iran, N Korea are....“… neither the products of, nor are they satisfied with, the contemporary order… At a minimum, they intend to destroy the reach of the U.S.-led order into what they perceive to be their legitimate sphere of influence. They are also resolved to replace that order locally with a new rule set dictated by them.”
In response to the question "“What do you perceive to be the Department of Defense’s (DoD’s)
top 5 potential surge military demands between 2017-2027?” they came up with the list below:
Strategic Deterrenceand Defense
• Perceived Loss of Nuclear/Tech Advantage
• Future Gulf Nuclear Stand-Off
• People's Republic of China/Russian Counter-Space Campaign
Gray Zone/Counter-Gray Zone
• Russian Gray/Black Campaign Against the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Member States
• People's Republic of China Gray/Black Campaign to Seize Taiwan
• Russia/People's Republic of China/Iran Gray/Black Campaign Against U.S. Global Position
• Regional Iranian Hybrid War
Access/Anti-Access
• RussianBaltic Counter-Access Campaign
• People's Republic of China Counter-Access Campaign
Major Combat
• People's Republic of China Annexation of the South China Seas and Isolation of Japan/the East China Sea
• Democratic People’s Republic of Korea Conventional/Nuclear Aggression Against the Republic of Korea/Japan
Distributed Security
• Russia Civil War/Loss of Control Over Nuclear Arsenal
• Pakistan Civil Conflict/Loss of Control Over Nuclear Arsenal
• Contagious Pan-Regional Military Engagement Civil Conflict
• Widespread Mexican Civil Conflict/Migration Crisis
• Democratic People’s Republic of Korea Collapse, Civil Conflict, Loss of Control over Weapons of Mass
Destruction
• Turkish Civil Conflict
Influence/Counter Influence
• Competitor Strategic Manipulation of Perceptions to Achieve Favorable Strategic Outcomes
• Effective Cyber/Info Campaign Against U.S. Global Position
Counter-Network
• Transnational Sunni-Shia Sectarian Civil Conflict
• Globally Distributed Terrorist Campaign
Humanitarian Assistance and Consequence Management
• Domestic Public Health Emergency
• Large-Scale Domestic Disaster
https://medium.com/insurge-intellige...g-746754cdaebf
https://ssi.armywarcollege.edu/pubs/...cfm?pubID=1358
Source PDF:
https://ssi.armywarcollege.edu/pubs/download.cfm?q=1358