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Old 12-21-2018, 05:15 PM
 
9,329 posts, read 4,138,210 times
Reputation: 8224

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If we really do plummet into another major recession, it would be unusually fast. They're usually supposed to be cyclical, right?


Are You Ready for the Financial Crisis of 2019?
Five ways things could get bad for everyone

By Alex Williams

Overall, stocks are down 1.5 percent this year, after hitting dizzying heights in early October. Hedge funds are having their worst year since the 2008 crisis. And household debt recently hit another record high of $13.5 trillion — up $837 billion from the previous peak, which preceded the Great Recession.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/10/s...al-crisis.html
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Old 12-21-2018, 05:18 PM
 
Location: The Republic of Gilead
12,716 posts, read 7,804,676 times
Reputation: 11338
I believe 2019 is going to be a repeat of 2008, except worse because the government is not going to have the tools or the competence to fight it.

You can say what you want about the bank bailouts under Bush and Obama, but they did help prevent Great Depression 2.0. We aren't likely to be so lucky this time.

15% unemployment, Dow 7000, and 500,000+ job losses per month by the 2020 election. That will be the record Trump will be running on.
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Old 12-21-2018, 05:27 PM
 
Location: North of Canada, but not the Arctic
21,097 posts, read 19,694,480 times
Reputation: 25612
Yes, I am ready to gobble up stocks after they plummet. I haven’t bought since 2009 (other than 401k) and have a lot of cash sitting around doing nothing.
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Old 12-21-2018, 05:28 PM
 
34,278 posts, read 19,358,607 times
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Not unusually fast at all. In fact right about exactly on schedule. The real question is cause, and severity. How those are managed is important, but the 9 year cycle is almost inevitable it seems.
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Old 12-21-2018, 06:06 PM
 
Location: Eastern NC
20,868 posts, read 23,537,374 times
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I lost a lot of money in my retirement fund last time and I am scared of not if but when this will happen so I can get my money into a secure fund instead of the money making ones it is in now.
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Old 12-21-2018, 06:10 PM
 
Location: Stillwater, Oklahoma
30,976 posts, read 21,621,734 times
Reputation: 9676
Maybe someday people will learn to elect a Democrat for president, if they don't want to see huge stock market crashes.
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Old 12-21-2018, 06:11 PM
 
4,534 posts, read 4,927,812 times
Reputation: 6327
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clarallel View Post
If we really do plummet into another major recession, it would be unusually fast. They're usually supposed to be cyclical, right?


Are You Ready for the Financial Crisis of 2019?
Five ways things could get bad for everyone

By Alex Williams

Overall, stocks are down 1.5 percent this year, after hitting dizzying heights in early October. Hedge funds are having their worst year since the 2008 crisis. And household debt recently hit another record high of $13.5 trillion — up $837 billion from the previous peak, which preceded the Great Recession.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/10/s...al-crisis.html



Housing market is slowing too. Prices in many markets are starting to crater and many homeowners will have to take a loss if they sell.
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Old 12-21-2018, 06:14 PM
 
4,534 posts, read 4,927,812 times
Reputation: 6327
Quote:
Originally Posted by greywar View Post
Not unusually fast at all. In fact right about exactly on schedule. The real question is cause, and severity. How those are managed is important, but the 9 year cycle is almost inevitable it seems.



Unfortunately T already blew a hole in the government's strategy to help contain recessions - and that's by fiscal stimulus and tax cuts. Trump was such a stable genius that he cut taxes when he didn't need to when the economy was roaring. Now that it is taking a crap due to his brilliant plan of a trade war, his tax cuts are going to put the government in a massive deficit hole and there won't be any room to run up some debt to help contain the recession and give out more tax cuts to help stimulate spending.



Can you feel all of that winning America?
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Old 12-21-2018, 06:16 PM
 
Location: San Diego CA
8,479 posts, read 6,878,349 times
Reputation: 16974
What happens happens. Retired but never put the majority of my savings into stocks. Hopefully I’ve deversified enough to weather the storm.
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Old 12-21-2018, 06:21 PM
 
Location: Unperson Everyman Land
38,647 posts, read 26,363,905 times
Reputation: 12648
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clarallel View Post
If we really do plummet into another major recession, it would be unusually fast. They're usually supposed to be cyclical, right?


Are You Ready for the Financial Crisis of 2019?
Five ways things could get bad for everyone

By Alex Williams

Overall, stocks are down 1.5 percent this year, after hitting dizzying heights in early October. Hedge funds are having their worst year since the 2008 crisis. And household debt recently hit another record high of $13.5 trillion — up $837 billion from the previous peak, which preceded the Great Recession.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/10/s...al-crisis.html

Relax, you're in panic mode for no reason.

Once investors realize that the new Democrat Congress is essentially powerless, they'll get back in the markets.
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