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Old 01-17-2019, 11:39 AM
 
Location: Great Britain
27,134 posts, read 13,429,141 times
Reputation: 19431

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Quote:
Originally Posted by thelogo View Post
That will be exactly the point. The EU want them to stay. The British want all the privileges of being a member. In reality politicians both in Britain and rest EU want the UK to stay. The tricky part is how to maintain the illusion of democracy. They'll just keep negotiation to no end.
The British don't want anything other than a free trade agreement, something that the EU already has with 60 nations outside of the EU.

The EU has 36 free trade agreements with 60 non EU countries, and regardless of petty disputes over small borders which are never going to have a hard border, the EU should be concentrating on trying to negotiate a trade deal.

If the EU can negotiate free trade agreements with most of North Africa, the Middle East and numerous other countries, then making a trade agreement with a close ally who helps defend Europe, should not present any problem whatsoever.

Euro-Mediterranean free trade area - Wikipedia

Euro-Mediterranean partnership - Trade - European Commission

Negotiations and agreements - Trade - European Commission

The EU even has a provisionally applied free trade agreement with Zimbabwe.

The fact that you will be able to freely trade goods from the likes of Morocco but not the UK is absoloutely ridiculous, and it's not down to the UK it's down to the EU trying to manipulate the situation and punsih Britain.
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Old 01-17-2019, 11:54 AM
 
1,675 posts, read 576,235 times
Reputation: 490
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdnirene View Post
No they don’t. They just want a trade agreement. As I pointed out in one of these threads, Canada had a free trade agreement with the EU. Japan does too. So does Mexico.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brave New World View Post
The British don't want anything other than a free trade agreement, something that the EU already has with 60 nations outside of the EU.

...

Trade is just part of the problem and they could care less if the deficit increases. The main issue is finances. They can't have investors leave London.

Farage explains it well. The will of the people does not matter. Between the money interest of the city of London and Brussels' policies they'll extend this until they figure out how to trick people into accepting the status quo.
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Old 01-17-2019, 12:08 PM
 
51,651 posts, read 25,790,245 times
Reputation: 37884
Trick the people? That train has already left the station.

Everything from ads on buses to the constant barrage of speeches and social media postings assured everyone that there was not going to be an economic cost to Brexit. In fact, Brexit would be an economic boon as every nation on earth would be tripping over themselves to sign free trade agreements with the UK.

A couple of regulars on C-D are constantly posting about all these free trade agreements .

Hopefully, their optimistic assessments will pan out better than earlier assurances have.
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Old 01-17-2019, 12:15 PM
 
Location: Great Britain
27,134 posts, read 13,429,141 times
Reputation: 19431
Quote:
Originally Posted by thelogo View Post
Trade is just part of the problem and they could care less if the deficit increases. The main issue is finances. They can't have investors leave London.

Farage explains it well. The will of the people does not matter. Between the money interest of the city of London and Brussels' policies they'll extend this until they figure out how to trick people into accepting the status quo.
As Jacob Rees-Mogg rightly points out, London has never been in competition with Frankfurt, Paris or Amsterdam. In terms of banking London is in competition with NYC, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore, Shanghai etc.

The projection for job losses in London is a mere 4,600 banking jobs, which have already been replaced by massive investment from other sectors including the growing tech sector.

The financial sector could thrive in London after Brexit, as we would not be tied to a lot of EU regulations and would be able to put in place our own regulatons in order to make London as competitive as possible on the global stage.

In terms of trade, the EU has a $100 Billion surplus with the UK, and Germany even has a surplus in terms of finance and services, so would be doubly hit, at a time when Germany is believed to be going in to recession.

I really don't understand where some Americans get this view of the EU, when in fact it's the global economy and global trade that is important and the financial industries throughout the world can not be stopped from trading because of the EU. The US trades on equivalency as do other nations, and the UK will trade in a similar manner.

Banks set to move fewer than 4,600 City jobs over Brexit - EGi

Banks to move fewer than 4,600 London jobs in the run-up to Brexit - Daily Express

Banks set to move fewer than 4600 City jobs over Brexit - Savills connect

The Great Brexit Banker Exodus That Wasn't - Bloomberg

Banks set to move fewer than 4,600 City jobs over Brexit | Financial Times
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Old 01-17-2019, 12:24 PM
 
Location: Florida
77,005 posts, read 47,597,802 times
Reputation: 14806
Quote:
Originally Posted by BentBow View Post
Time to pull the plug.


Pulling a fast one on the British People was never going to work!
She failed to build the alliances with the parties for the plan to pass. For example she did not listen to DUP party (Democratic Unionist Party), and therefore did not get their support.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46868541

I like the "no confidence" votes. We should have a public no-confidence vote about Trump.
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Old 01-17-2019, 12:44 PM
 
Location: Itinerant
8,278 posts, read 6,271,110 times
Reputation: 6681
Quote:
Originally Posted by thelogo View Post
Keep voting until they get the results they want?



Nothing is going to happen on March 29. Parliament will say brexit is not possible without a deal. This will extend indefinitely because the British demands are unrealistic.

Interesting how you switch brexit=no moving parts, no brexit=multiple moving parts. You are confusing a single statement with all the actual changes brexit implies. Trade, finances, and social policies will continue with the EU. In the end, money matters, not voting.
Brexit is done, it's in British Law, the only way to stop it is to do something. It's the default position.

Anything else needs action.

The UK can't extend, May is the election of the EU Commissioner, if the UK stays until then their MEP's get to vote on who it will be. You think Juncker is going to let that happen? You'd need to amend EU law to refuse the vote to the UK, and that literally can't be done prior to May.
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Old 01-17-2019, 01:00 PM
 
Location: Canada
7,676 posts, read 5,521,274 times
Reputation: 8817
Quote:
Originally Posted by GotHereQuickAsICould View Post
A couple of regulars on C-D are constantly posting about all these free trade agreements .

Hopefully, their optimistic assessments will pan out better than earlier assurances have.
I’m not sure if you are referring to me since I just posted about trade agreements. However, the point I was making is that posters are flat out wrong when they state or imply that a free trade agreement with the EU is only possible if a country is part of the EU and accepts free movement.

I listed current EU free trade agreements with non-EU countries as proof. How does stating a simple FACT i.e. those free trade agreements exist equal ”optimistic assessment?”
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Old 01-17-2019, 01:29 PM
 
5,297 posts, read 6,172,002 times
Reputation: 5480
When Britain first asked to join the Common Market in 1963 under British Prime Minister Harold Macmillan, British membership was vetoed by Charles de Gaulle. His argument was that the UK was too close to the USA. And de Gaulle was right- Britain has a lot more in common with their former colonies than with polyglot continental Europe.
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Old 01-17-2019, 03:49 PM
 
1,675 posts, read 576,235 times
Reputation: 490
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brave New World View Post
As Jacob Rees-Mogg rightly points out, London has never been in competition with Frankfurt, Paris or Amsterdam. In terms of banking London is in competition with NYC, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore, Shanghai etc.

The projection for job losses in London is a mere 4,600 banking jobs, which have already been replaced by massive investment from other sectors including the growing tech sector.

The financial sector could thrive in London after Brexit, as we would not be tied to a lot of EU regulations and would be able to put in place our own regulatons in order to make London as competitive as possible on the global stage.

In terms of trade, the EU has a $100 Billion surplus with the UK, and Germany even has a surplus in terms of finance and services, so would be doubly hit, at a time when Germany is believed to be going in to recession.

I really don't understand where some Americans get this view of the EU, when in fact it's the global economy and global trade that is important and the financial industries throughout the world can not be stopped from trading because of the EU. The US trades on equivalency as do other nations, and the UK will trade in a similar manner.

Banks set to move fewer than 4,600 City jobs over Brexit - EGi

Banks to move fewer than 4,600 London jobs in the run-up to Brexit - Daily Express

Banks set to move fewer than 4600 City jobs over Brexit - Savills connect

The Great Brexit Banker Exodus That Wasn't - Bloomberg

Banks set to move fewer than 4,600 City jobs over Brexit | Financial Times

What I mean is that everyone is underestimating London as a financial center and its relation to the rest of Europe. It employs 1.6% of workers in the UK, yet produce 22% of GDP. I know London is not a competitor with other European cities. It is a competitor with place like NYC, etc. but that is in part because of its relation with other European countries.

Jobs, trade, industry take second place when it comes to finances, specially for the UK. The news are talking about either an extension of negotiations or/and a second referendum. You can believe all you want in a hard exit, but it's probably not going to happen. I would be really surprised if that was the case. We'll see in March.

As for the EU in general, I don't support them but I believe they are going to become stronger not weaker, they just have to use a few dirty tricks.
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Old 02-08-2019, 01:15 PM
 
20,758 posts, read 8,562,401 times
Reputation: 14393
My UK Brexit friend excitedly emailed the Telegraph article today:

Thousands of Conservative members are likely to defect to a new Brexit party which was today officially recognised by the electoral regulator, its backers claim.

The Electoral Commission on Friday formally recognised the Brexit Party as an official organisation which will allow it to field candidates at elections.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...-brexit-party/
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