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https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...ed-strongly/If one focused solely on the final poll issued by Rasmussen Reports or Pulse Opinion Research in each state — rather than including all polls within the three-week interval — it would not have made much difference. Their average error would be 5.7 points rather than 5.8, and their average bias 3.8 points rather than 3.9.
AND, 538 recently debunked the idea that he would have lost without Perot (I voted Perot in that election)....
538 said that Trump had a 2% chance of being nominated. And when they were proved wrong on that account, continued to insist all the way until November 8, 2016 that Trump had effectively no chance to win.
Nate Silver was indeed crying that night. Exposed as nothing but a snake oil salesman. He's left with making money on baseball scores these days. His commentary on an election that took place decades before they existed is meaningless.
Ford had the Vietnam withdrawal and pardoned Nixon
Reagan had runaway inflation and bank closings
Carter had the embassy invasion in Iran and oil embargoes
Obama had a massive recession.
Trump has a great economy, record low unemployment
So why is Trump so unpopular since he claims he is such a great president.
At no time in Trump's presidency has he held a higher approval of Obama. In fact, Trump's highest high is still lower than Obama's lowest low.
In order to win the debate, you have to include polls that make no sense, and polls that count registered voters or adults fall solidly in the "So What" category.
Today, Zogby released its poll of likely voters. It should come as no surprise that the Zogby poll of likely voters mirrors the Rasmussen poll of likely voters.
Approval is now at 51% at Zogby.
Interesting that Trump's approval rating among blacks is at 27%.
This idea that the bros are going to back Biden because he's one of them is nonsense.
Black or white it's the paycheck at the end of the month that counts.
Approval going up and the rats that concocted the failed Trump takedown attempt are starting to jump ship and turn on each other. I wasn’t sure we would ever see the day, but I think people are starting to understand now. Trump is right on most of the major policy issues and it looks like the real wrongdoing was from the other side, it’s coming out daily now.
Approval going up and the rats that concocted the failed Trump takedown attempt are starting to jump ship and turn on each other. I wasn’t sure we would ever see the day, but I think people are starting to understand now. Trump is right on most of the major policy issues and it looks like the real wrongdoing was from the other side, it’s coming out daily now.
True.
Go back to Real Clear Politics and look at Trump's Favorable/Unfavorable. We can see that he scored 39/56% the day before the election last November when statewide elections delivered wins in the senate. Now he is at 42/53%. He has gained 3% and just as importantly, 3% left the Donkey Club and are siding with the GOP. And that's including nit-wit polls who simply talk to adults.
Come election day in 2020, the tariffs will be history, several Mueller supporters will be defending themselves, and hopefully the economy will be just perking right along.
And no, his tax returns will still not be public.
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