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Old 05-30-2019, 07:58 PM
 
18,069 posts, read 18,818,113 times
Reputation: 25191

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"It is weather, not climate change" - climate change advocates when others point out weather events that contradict climate change.

"Look, see? This is what climate change is doing" - climate change advocates when the weather supports their claims.

 
Old 05-30-2019, 08:00 PM
 
10,513 posts, read 5,166,113 times
Reputation: 14056
Quote:
Originally Posted by DRob4JC View Post
Very scientific analysis...
I am confused.
Are we basing climate change/global warming on the weather or not?
See the link in post #12. The original position of scientists was that weather cannot be ascribed or blamed on climate change. As more studies are done, that is changing. The science of "climate attribution" uses rigorous analysis to determine to what degree, if any, a certain extreme weather event is caused by climate change.

Japan’s deadly 2018 heatwave ‘could not have happened without climate change’. Ironically, as they are analyzing the 2018 Tokyo heat event, they are having another massive heat wave event right now.
 
Old 05-30-2019, 08:01 PM
 
10,920 posts, read 6,910,517 times
Reputation: 4942
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathguy View Post
I accept that climate change is real but that's just one giant pile of stupid.

It's pointing at every record high, or low, or snowfall or drought or flooding....just opens the door for the opposition to cite the opposite when it occurs.

Taking an utterly unscientific approach like Mayor McCheese is NOT a good thing.
I actually agree.
 
Old 05-30-2019, 08:02 PM
 
Location: North Carolina
6,116 posts, read 4,608,458 times
Reputation: 10578
Quote:
Originally Posted by case44 View Post
Just another hack mayor politicizing his town's situation. He needs to be more concerned about getting the citizens to safety instead of crowing some myth.
I'm just curious: Other than not believing/agreeing with what he has to say about climate change, do you live in or have family/friends in Kimmswick, MO (population approximately 152) or some evidence, to show that he is not showing concern and taking action on behalf of the citizens he serves?
 
Old 05-30-2019, 08:12 PM
 
3,648 posts, read 3,784,861 times
Reputation: 5561
Whether one believes in climate change or not, it's not smart to build near bodies of water that are prone to flooding.

Yet individuals and municipalities continue to eliminate the buffer that nature would provide, or when none would be there, still build where it's stupid to do so.
 
Old 05-30-2019, 08:17 PM
 
45,582 posts, read 27,187,569 times
Reputation: 23892
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elliott_CA View Post
Actually science is increasingly on the mayor's side here. There is an emerging field of science called "climate attribution" that uses rigorous analysis to determine to what extent, if any, is extreme weather caused or worsened by climate change. Climate Attribution


Meanwhile, in Japan, record high temperatures are shattering records... 103 F in Tokyo in May is not normal.
Two Die, 600 Taken to Hospital for Heat Stroke in Japan

We are in the early stages of a climate crisis. Is that climate alarmism? No, not all. The rapidly increasing extreme weather events worldwide speak for themselves.
Climate attribution... the latest fake science term to try and extract money through fear.

Look at these two paragraphs from the link Climate Attribution above...

When scientists investigate climate change's effects on extreme events, they are not asking whether climate change caused an event. Instead, they attempt to determine whether and by how much climate change has affected the likelihood or intensity of an event. They often rely on real-world observations incorporated into climate models, which make calculations to simulate what would likely happen if individual conditions - such as global average temperatures - were different.

Extreme events are by definition rare - if they occurred regularly, we would likely not consider them extreme. By running climate models that recreate real-world conditions at the time of an event, scientists can determine just how rare - that is, how likely or unlikely - an event that actually occurred really was. Researchers then determine the likelihood of the same event under a different set of conditions by repeating the process using a climate model that simulates a hypothetical world in which humans have no influence on the climate. By comparing the likelihoods under these two scenarios, researchers can determine the extent to which human-caused climate change affected an event.


Summarizing... they have no clue on climate change affecting the weather. They don't even go there. Probably pretty smart to stay away from that. That's the first underline.

The second underline... They use criteria from a world that will never exist (a world without human influence). In other words, they make up the criteria to create the outcome they want, and come up with the numbers they want.

Hypothetical... simulations... not real data... not real science.
 
Old 05-30-2019, 08:21 PM
 
34,619 posts, read 21,615,505 times
Reputation: 22232
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elliott_CA View Post
Actually science is increasingly on the mayor's side here. There is an emerging field of science called "climate attribution" that uses rigorous analysis to determine to what extent, if any, is extreme weather caused or worsened by climate change. Climate Attribution


Meanwhile, in Japan, record high temperatures are shattering records... 103 F in Tokyo in May is not normal.
Two Die, 600 Taken to Hospital for Heat Stroke in Japan

We are in the early stages of a climate crisis. Is that climate alarmism? No, not all. The rapidly increasing extreme weather events worldwide speak for themselves.
If it's AGW, it can't be stopped no matter how much you tax.
 
Old 05-30-2019, 08:22 PM
 
34,619 posts, read 21,615,505 times
Reputation: 22232
Quote:
Originally Posted by DRob4JC View Post
Climate attribution... the latest fake science term to try and extract money through fear.

Look at these two paragraphs from the link Climate Attribution above...

When scientists investigate climate change's effects on extreme events, they are not asking whether climate change caused an event. Instead, they attempt to determine whether and by how much climate change has affected the likelihood or intensity of an event. They often rely on real-world observations incorporated into climate models, which make calculations to simulate what would likely happen if individual conditions - such as global average temperatures - were different.

Extreme events are by definition rare - if they occurred regularly, we would likely not consider them extreme. By running climate models that recreate real-world conditions at the time of an event, scientists can determine just how rare - that is, how likely or unlikely - an event that actually occurred really was. Researchers then determine the likelihood of the same event under a different set of conditions by repeating the process using a climate model that simulates a hypothetical world in which humans have no influence on the climate. By comparing the likelihoods under these two scenarios, researchers can determine the extent to which human-caused climate change affected an event.


Summarizing... they have no clue on climate change affecting the weather. They don't even go there. Probably pretty smart to stay away from that. That's the first underline.

The second underline... They use criteria from a world that will never exist (a world without human influence). In other words, they make up the criteria to create the outcome they want, and come up with the numbers they want.

Hypothetical... simulations... not real data... not real science.
Hence the reason why their modeling never works.
 
Old 05-30-2019, 08:31 PM
 
Location: Central Washington
1,663 posts, read 876,610 times
Reputation: 2941
Was it also "climate change" that caused the Midwestern floods larger than this, that happened in 1927?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_..._Flood_of_1927

Or the floods of 1937? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ohio_River_flood_of_1937

Maybe the summer of 1951 floods? Genuine Kansas - Great Flood of 1951 - Kansas

Surely "climate change" must be responsible for the worst flooding ever recorded. Except that happened in 1844. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Flood_of_1844
 
Old 05-30-2019, 08:35 PM
 
34,619 posts, read 21,615,505 times
Reputation: 22232
Quote:
Originally Posted by dozerbear View Post
Was it also "climate change" that caused the Midwestern floods larger than this, that happened in 1927?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_..._Flood_of_1927

Or the floods of 1937? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ohio_River_flood_of_1937

Maybe the summer of 1951 floods? Genuine Kansas - Great Flood of 1951 - Kansas

Surely "climate change" must be responsible for the worst flooding ever recorded. Except that happened in 1844. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Flood_of_1844
Sshhhhh....

When talking about AGW, you must cherry pick the data to support it.

You know, like when we talk about CO2 levels, you should only go back 800,000 years. If you go back too far, you'll find levels nearly 5 times higher on a lush planet with great biodiversity.
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