Fear and Loyalty: How Donald Trump Took Over

[Bureaucat]

Originally Posted by Rakin

Deplorable unite and grow!

Besides you Dems have no one to offer and promote nothing but job killing Socialism.

https://twitter.com/MattWolking/stat...07999430422528

The demographic group that is the heart of the “deplorables” and of the GOP base overall has been shrinking, like clockwork, for over 20 years.

Non-college whites are by far the oldest demographic and it is getting smaller with each election.

White college graduates as a group are as a group. far younger than non-college whites. White college grads are actually growing, albeit slightly, while white non-college are losing 2% to 3% of registered voters with every 4 year POTUS election cycle.

The latest census data showed that the most common age reported for a white person was 58. Since white college grads are generally younger then white non-college, the most reported age for white non-college would be closer to 60 or more.

At the sane time, the most common ages for Asians was 29, blacks 27 and Hispanics, an incredible 11 years old.

Unless you think a movement based primarily upon white fear of displacement is likely to gain popularity among the minority groups whose growth caused the fear in the first place, or that it will gain popularity with white college graduates, there’s little reason to expect a large surge in support, because those are the groups that are growing.

If the Trump base cannot be expanded to include a larger share of the minorities that many within the base hate and fear and/or of the white college grads they resent, they must constantly mine larger turnout and/or a higher percentage out of that shrinking white non-college base just to break even and not lose voting share.

MAGAs don’t like to hear the above, but they seldom even try to refute it, because they know that it’s an “inconvenient” fact and they’d rather just ignore what they don’t want to acknowledge.

Listed below is an article that looks at the projected demographic divide in the battleground states in 2020.


https://www.americanprogress.org/iss...path-270-2020/

[jeffdoorgunner]

Originally Posted by Bureaucat

The demographic group that is the heart of the “deplorables” and of the GOP base over has been shrinking, like clockwork, for over 20 years.

Non-college whites are by far the oldest demographic and it is getting smaller with each election.

White college graduates as a group are far younger than non-college whites. White college grads are actually growing, albeit slightly, while white non-college are losing 2% to 3% of registered voters with every 4 year POTUS election cycle.

The latest census date shows that the most common age reported for a white person was 58. Since white college grads are generally younger then white non-college, the most reported age for white non-college would be closer to 60 or more.

At the sane time, the most common ages for Asians was 29, blacks 27 and Hispanics, an incredible 11 years old.

Unless you think a movement based primarily upon white fear of displacement is likely to gain popularity among the minority groups whose growth caused the fear in the first place, or that it will gain popularity with white college graduates, there’s little reason to expect a large surge in support, because those are the groups that are growing.

If the Trump base cannot be expanded to include a larger share of the minorities that many within the base hate and fear and/or of the white college grads they resent, they must constantly mine larger turnout and/or a higher percentage out of that shrinking white non-college base just to break even and not lose voting share.

MAGAs don’t like to hear the above, but they seldom even try to refute it, because they know that it’s an “inconvenient” fact they’d rather just ignore.

As with any study in "sociology" it is just as flawed as any "general" study of demographics. My Asian daughter of 23 picks Trump over any of the democratic candidates,as does her 22 year old fiancée. She is going to med school and he has a masters in accounting...……..

[Bureaucat]

Originally Posted by jeffdoorgunner

As with any study in "sociology" it is just as flawed as any "general" study of demographics. My Asian daughter of 23 picks Trump over any of the democratic candidates,as does her 22 year old fiancée. She is going to med school and he has a masters in accounting...……..

Demographic averages do not equate to individuals, nor do individual examples negate the whole.

[thefragile]

Originally Posted by Quick Enough

"Only the simple minded" "Those that cast the insult are the ones usually GUILTY of the insult", as they say!

Lol, oh dear. Would you like me to pull up just a handful of your posts? Really want to go there, do you?

[natalie469]

Originally Posted by Leona Valley

Toughen up and it won’t sting as bad. Our side has been called deplorable. Boo hoo.

LOL I am way more tough then Trump. I can handle criticism and just let it go. Trump can't do that. So maybe he needs to toughen up, don't you think