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I have a cousin telling me this is under control and nothing to worry about.
Harvard University epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch is predicting the coronavirus "will ultimately not be containable" and, within a year, will infect somewhere between 40 and 70 percent of humanity, The Atlantic reports. But don't be too alarmed. Many of those people, Lipsitch clarifies, won't have severe illnesses or even show symptoms at all, which is already the case for many people who have tested positive for the virus.
70% of humanity? I don't think so. It seems really unlike that a virus like that could become such a pandemic that it's infection count is in the 10-figures.
70% of humanity? I don't think so. It seems really unlike that a virus like that could become such a pandemic that it's infection count is in the 10-figures.
Of course it could. It grows exponentially as long as R0 is greater than 1. This virus has an R0 = 2-3. What matters is the speed at which it transmits and how susceptible people are, in other words is the entire population able to catch it or do some people have natural immunity? Oddly it appears children are somewhat immune to Covid-19.
It might end up like a cold, that just circulates around and around and never goes away and it mutates every so often so vaccines never work. Colds are caused by a type of corona virus.
Of course it could. It grows exponentially as long as R0 is greater than 1. This virus has an R0 = 2-3. What matters is the speed at which it transmits and how susceptible people are, in other words is the entire population able to catch it or do some people have natural immunity? Oddly it appears children are somewhat immune to Covid-19.
It might end up like a cold, that just circulates around and around and never goes away and it mutates every so often so vaccines never work. Colds are caused by a type of corona virus.
My understanding is this is only the 3rd of this style of corona virus - the other 2, SARS (2003) and MERS (2012) were contained, what makes this one so different?
I have a cousin telling me this is under control and nothing to worry about.
Harvard University epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch is predicting the coronavirus "will ultimately not be containable" and, within a year, will infect somewhere between 40 and 70 percent of humanity, The Atlantic reports. But don't be too alarmed. Many of those people, Lipsitch clarifies, won't have severe illnesses or even show symptoms at all, which is already the case for many people who have tested positive for the virus.
No, it's not under control - far from it. Is he listening to the liar Trump? You can be sure that jackass knows nothing. How is your cousin defining control? Hundreds of new cases in northern Italy. Where did that come from? My opinion, very easily 60% of the world's population will become infected. Watch in the next few weeks the increase in cases in the US. For now, there are only a few - that won't last long. Heard on CNBC today a drug company has fast-tracked a vaccine. That, imo, is the only hope of preventing a pandemic. However, tha virus apparently does mutate rapidly, so how effective any vaccine will be is questionable. Fortunately, the death rate is fairly low - 3% in China, somewhat lower elsewhere, although hospitalizations for those seriously ill extend for weeks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ddeemo
My understanding is this is only the 3rd of this style of corona virus - the other 2, SARS (2003) and MERS (2012) were contained, what makes this one so different?
No, it's not under control - far from it. Is he listening to the liar Trump? You can be sure that jackass knows nothing. How is your cousin defining control? Hundreds of new cases in northern Italy. Where did that come from? My opinion, very easily 60% of the world's population will become infected. Watch in the next few weeks the increase in cases in the US. For now, there are only a few - that won't last long. Heard on CNBC today a drug company has fast-tracked a vaccine. That, imo, is the only hope of preventing a pandemic. However, tha virus apparently does mutate rapidly, so how effective any vaccine will be is questionable. Fortunately, the death rate is fairly low - 3% in China, somewhat lower elsewhere, although hospitalizations for those seriously ill extend for weeks.
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