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Th lady said 4% of the testing in Korea came back positive from the coronavirus. That sounds pretty good, right? I rounded the US population down to 300,000,000, then used 3% instead of 4%. These two round downs would exclude some of the kids who, so far, do not seem prone to come down with the virus. That means 9,000,000 will become infected. These numbers are way lower than others are saying (and no I do not have a link for that) Another number I saw indicated that 80% of those inflicted would nor be serious cases. (I forget the exact terminology.) 20% of 9,000,000 is 1.8 million. I hope those don't come at the same time since there are only 1,000,000 hospital beds currently in the US and 2/3rds are typically full.
Not sure whose numbers to believe about the aflicted.
BS.......anyone with any knowledge of virology saw this coming weeks ago.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe the Photog
Without more testing, we sti don't know the numbers that are coming
... Or someone with an interest in numbers and the inclination to follow them.
Since Mar 3rd, numbers of victims:
106; 138; 200; 289; 401; 504; 663; 949; 1301; 1758..... and so far today, 2068. That mean the number of victims is doubling twice a week............. So this time next week we will have 4X as many victims, or 8,000.
Th lady said 4% of the testing in Korea came back positive from the coronavirus. That sounds pretty good, right? I rounded the US population down to 300,000,000, then used 3% instead of 4%. These two round downs would exclude some of the kids who, so far, do not seem prone to come down with the virus. That means 9,000,000 will become infected. These numbers are way lower than others are saying (and no I do not have a link for that) Another number I saw indicated that 80% of those inflicted would nor be serious cases. (I forget the exact terminology.) 20% of 9,000,000 is 1.8 million. I hope those don't come at the same time since there are only 1,000,000 hospital beds currently in the US and 2/3rds are typically full.
Not sure whose numbers to believe about the aflicted.
I think we may have 100,000 and not millions in the end.
you're right, and they probably should explain that. it may be so self-evident to them that they figure it requires no explanation.
Yes, I think they take it for granted that most people understand our healthcare system as well as our national labs. But I can guarantee most people don't.
Th lady said 4% of the testing in Korea came back positive from the coronavirus. That sounds pretty good, right? I rounded the US population down to 300,000,000, then used 3% instead of 4%. These two round downs would exclude some of the kids who, so far, do not seem prone to come down with the virus. That means 9,000,000 will become infected. These numbers are way lower than others are saying (and no I do not have a link for that) Another number I saw indicated that 80% of those inflicted would nor be serious cases. (I forget the exact terminology.) 20% of 9,000,000 is 1.8 million. I hope those don't come at the same time since there are only 1,000,000 hospital beds currently in the US and 2/3rds are typically full.
Not sure whose numbers to believe about the aflicted.
It's a good thing the markets closed before he started taking questions
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