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Old 03-16-2020, 11:26 AM
 
77,692 posts, read 59,834,099 times
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The bottom line metric of success when the dust settles will be:

Deaths / Population

That will reflect on how it was contained, ignore any bias for not testing as much or having minor cases reported as well as the medical response.

Hopefully we can learn from this and not use it as an opportunity to axe grind on pet political issues.
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Old 03-16-2020, 11:29 AM
 
Location: Florida
7,195 posts, read 5,679,910 times
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What do you think is going to happen here?? It's going to be even worse, because employees don't have the protections that the employees in Italy/Spain/Germany/France have. Sick people can't call out sick because they will not get paid, so they'll just go work at the stores/restaurants/whatever and spread it around even more.
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Old 03-16-2020, 12:23 PM
 
Location: Embarrassing, WA
3,405 posts, read 2,692,220 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DRob4JC View Post
I didn't think that 45,000 sounded right. The U.S. number is from 2009. Do the math - 3.47 million beds in 2009.
Lets assume that we end up with a infection rate of 70% in the USA, and we take the best case scenario of only 1% of those needing to be hospitalized, that is still about 2.2 million people. Change that to 3%, and we're at nearly double our capacity.
We have about 1 bed per 90 people, roughly.
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Old 03-16-2020, 12:28 PM
 
7,448 posts, read 2,804,879 times
Reputation: 4922
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathguy View Post
The bottom line metric of success when the dust settles will be:

Deaths / Population

That will reflect on how it was contained, ignore any bias for not testing as much or having minor cases reported as well as the medical response.

Hopefully we can learn from this and not use it as an opportunity to axe grind on pet political issues.
Part of the frustration is we already have been down this path during Obama's tenure and he(learning from his own mistakes) set up government apparatus specifically for this problem with people that had experience and institutional knowledge dealing with pandemics.

I find it a bit disingenuous to have the new admin come in, foolishly dismantle this apparatus for most likely political reasons, and then we are supposed to be all kum-bah-yah lets all come together and learn from our mistakes.

We already burned our hand on this stove and learned from our mistakes once, one side came in and destroyed it, and if you rightly criticize them for doing so you are "axe grinding" and being "political" in these "difficult times". Oh don't forget, the guy who dismantled these Obama programs also had the AUDACITY to then turn blame Obama for his own administrations failure to be able to provide adequate testing.

When you have a the leader of a political party actively contributing to the problem it is difficult to see how politics can NOT be part of the solution. To remove part of the problem will require politics.

Last edited by zzzSnorlax; 03-16-2020 at 12:36 PM..
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Old 03-16-2020, 12:32 PM
 
Location: Boston, MA
14,460 posts, read 11,198,221 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mach50 View Post
If our system is far superior... everyone should be getting tested...there will be no spread...

3774 cases and 64 deaths so far...3/15/2020...just in the US.
As of noon today

US: 4108 cases with 71 deaths for a 1.7% death rate.
Italy: 27,980 cases with 2158 death for a 7.7% death rate.
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Old 03-16-2020, 12:43 PM
 
Location: New Market, MD
2,573 posts, read 3,481,336 times
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Italy's tale has nothing to do with their Universal HC system.
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Old 03-16-2020, 12:49 PM
 
Location: Denver
9,963 posts, read 18,423,742 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Joshua View Post
As of noon today

US: 4108 cases with 71 deaths for a 1.7% death rate.
Italy: 27,980 cases with 2158 death for a 7.7% death rate.
Good info. Found the source -
https://www.worldometers.info/corona...Stz8WLcE8cYMlk

They had similar numbers back on 3/06/2020, so we are roughly 10-14 days behind their curve and we had an ocean moat between us and China where they did not.
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Old 03-16-2020, 12:55 PM
 
Location: Embarrassing, WA
3,405 posts, read 2,692,220 times
Reputation: 4407
I visited Italy in 2016, it does have a higher average age of the population in my opinion. Plus, like many European countries, they use mass transit a lot more than we do in the US. It's pretty common for those that have a car, to use it only locally and take the train for city-to-city travel.
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Old 03-16-2020, 01:02 PM
 
23,177 posts, read 12,041,604 times
Reputation: 29347
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mach50 View Post
Good info. Found the source -
https://www.worldometers.info/corona...Stz8WLcE8cYMlk

They had similar numbers back on 3/06/2020, so we are roughly 10-14 days behind their curve and we had an ocean moat between us and China where they did not.

I didn't realize many people were getting to Italy from China by cars, boats, and trains.
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Old 03-16-2020, 01:05 PM
 
Location: NMB, SC
41,657 posts, read 17,252,808 times
Reputation: 34154
No health insurance or health care system in the world will work if you have more patients than beds and more patients needing oxygen than ventilators.

This entire thread and it's premise is BS
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