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because we drive cars to get places. People take drugs and smoke because of the effects it gives them. People eat unhealthy foods because they taste good.
I don't think anybody gets the covid-19 for the fun of it. To the contrary, we want to avoid covid-19 so that we can drive our cars, take drugs and smoke and eat unhealthy foods without being dead.
Yeah, and that brings up another good point. The infection rate among nurses and doctors is anywhere from 10-20% in the epicenters. Those healthcare workers are desperately needed to care for patients, and not just coronavirus patients. But they’re out of commission.
To tie this back to Italy, wasn't like 20% of their cases healthcare workers exposed to the virus.
How can you say that when the new cases continue to rise?
It’s all about the rate of rise, not the fact that they are rising. The rate at which they are rising is no longer increasing. They are rising between 5,000 and 7,000 a day. The rate is steady. The curve is flattening. Soon we will start seeing them rise at a lower rate, say 4,000 a day. When the overall number of cases is no longer rising, that isn’t “flattening the curve” that is close to the end of the epidemic.
If the curve weren’t flattening, we would be seeing something like 5,000 one day, 7,000 the next, 10,000 the day after that and 15,000 the day after that. There not only are you getting more cases, the rate at which you are getting more cases is increasing. That is not flattening the curve. That is an out of control epidemic.
The question isn’t: “Is Italy going to end its epidemic really soon?” The question is: “Will Italy be able to get the epidemic under control soon?” And it looks like this is a distinct possibility because the curve is flattening.
If you click on the above link and scroll down, you will see a graph of the total coronavirus cases in Italy. You will be shown a linear graph which looks like it is going straight up (not flattening). But go ahead and click on “logarithmic” in the upper left corner. You will see a new graph showing the increase/decrease in the rate of change. Here you can see the flattening for yourself.
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