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Good News: Cases grew by 15% today. That's a lot better than the 30% we were seeing.
Yesterday was 14.3%. If we manage to lock in 15%, then it will take 5 days for the number of cases to double.
Granted, we don't have enough tests. We will not know how many are infected. I am damn sick and tired of hearing people it is only 0.01% of the population. We don't know who is sick for the most part unless those that are sick are sick enough or are hospital workers. It is much higher than we know. Granted, this will decrease the percent of deadly cases, but it shows how vastly it has spread and would show why we were right to close schools and have the businesses close up when the earliest city bans happened.
Prior to Covid-19, an average of 800 people died every day in the USA, according to the CDC. Nobody except family and friends shed a tear and life went on. In fact, people often joke about death. That's how some come to terms with the fact that we are all going to die someday. Many doctors and nurses deal with this fact of life every day, and some of them use humor as a way to cope. Some may say that is not respectful, but that's their business. If they save your life, who cares?
We are hopefully at the peak of the virus. Let's hope. This is certainly no laughing matter, but it's important to understand this is a temporary problem. We will get through this in time, and hopefully soon.
Interesting fact I saw tonight.
Congress remained in session throughout the Spanish Flu and several died.
They want to stay out of session now - are their lives more important or jobs less important now than they were then?
It's 2020.
Even the crooks in Washington can steal our money via Zoom.
Interesting website where you can enter your State and they predict when your peak covid cases will occur.
For example both New York and Michigan are expected to peak in 8 days.
Strangely, despite fact New York is only 2 times the size of Michigan, this tool predicts New York will ultimately need almost 5 times of beds in hospitals to accommodate patient load.
This model also predicts Florida doesn't need as many beds as New York.
They didn't close the borders fast enough. NY/NJ has a huge population of Italians, and they were still letting unscreened direct flights from Italy land in early March. They couldn't have done worse if they tried.
Good News: Cases grew by 15% today. That's a lot better than the 30% we were seeing.
Yesterday was 14.3%. If we manage to lock in 15%, then it will take 5 days for the number of cases to double.
As the # gets higher and higher, the % increase isn't going to go up as fast, but as the amount of new cases keep rising it certainly still isn't that good of a sign. Also keep in mind the difference between the # of cases and the # of confirmed cases. You can't quite confirm a case if you dont test for it, some areas have tested far more than others ( NY for example) and while testing has improved we are nowhere near where it needs to be and far from everyone who needs a test can get a test.
The measures put in place look like they may reduce the casualty rate by an order of magnitude, at least in the US. So, from 1.5-2 million deaths in the US, down to 150,000 to 200,000.
The measures put in place look like they may reduce the casualty rate by an order of magnitude, at least in the US. So, from 1.5-2 million deaths in the US, down to 150,000 to 200,000.
200k is best case scenario. 2 million is if we did nothing. It is likely to fall between the two. We'd be quite fortunate to achieve the best case scenario.
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