New England journal of Medicine - Covid 19 mortality rate far, far lower than projected (March, state)

[vacommonwealth]

. 1%,like the rate for the flu.

https://twitter.com/AmyLDemi/status/1245051110500564992

[swagger]

That editorial is over a month old, and the study was only done on the first 425 cases reported in China.

ETA: Do people even read the stuff they post links to anymore?

[vacommonwealth]

Originally Posted by swagger

That editorial is over a month old, and the study was only done on the first 425 cases reported in China.

ETA: Do people even read the stuff they post links to anymore?

. It's was put out March 26th

[rjshae]

For this pandemic, the mortality rate is a function of the hospitalization rate, so you have to factor in the later when you're projecting casualties. When this bug hits third world nations where the medical resources are nowhere near those in the first world countries, it could get really unpleasant.

[atltechdude]

Originally Posted by rjshae

For this pandemic, the mortality rate is a function of the hospitalization rate

No actually mortality rate has nothing to do with the hospitalization rate.

The mortality rate for covid-19 has likely been overstated though since most testing has been conducted on people presenting with serious symptoms or requiring hospitalization.

Most people who get this can just do home care for a few days/weeks like any cold and never need medical intervention.

[k350]

Originally Posted by vacommonwealth

. It's was put out March 26th

"This editorial was published on February 28, 2020, at NEJM.org."

It analyzed the first 425 cases in China...other words, outdated information. It also does nothing to address the hospitalization rate.

[Roboteer]

Originally Posted by swagger

That editorial is over a month old, and the study was only done on the first 425 cases reported in China.

ETA: Do people even read the stuff they post links to anymore?

Here's another copy of the same editorial, this time published with a date.

Feb. 29, 2020.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/20...ed_503025.html

[No_Recess]

The flu!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !

[eddie gein]

No actually mortality rate has nothing to do with the hospitalization rate.

Wouldn't the mortality rate change if hospitalization rate went up higher than what hospitals could handle?

[No_Recess]

Originally Posted by eddie gein

The article came out on March 26th but the data used in the article is a month old or older.

February's exponential growth turned it into March.

Happens every year.