Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
It's an inherent problem with all laboratory tests (not just antibody tests), just to varying degrees. Testing in a very low incidence population leads to a high number of false positives. Testing in a very high incidence population leads to high levels of false negatives. The problem can't be completely avoided, as no test is both 100% sensitive and 100% specific (which is what would be needed to avoid the problem). The closer a test can get to 100% sensitive and 100% specific, the smaller the problem - but it's still there.
The first-generation antibody tests were pretty inaccurate, by laboratory testing standards. The newer ones are quite a bit better, but still in need of more long-term validation of their claimed sensitivity and specificity.
In other words, as long as the results support the alarmist narrative that you and your people are promoting, then these people are "experts" and it would be outrageous to do anything other than to trust and "believe" them.
But when the results contradict the narrative that your people are promoting, then the results are to be questioned and rejected.
It really does appear to be just as simple as this.
In other words, as long as the results support the alarmist narrative that you and your people are promoting, then these people are "experts" and it would be outrageous to do anything other than to trust and "believe" them.
But when the results contradict the narrative that your people are promoting, then the results are to be questioned and rejected.
It really does appear to be just as simple as this.
"Experts say"... "translation" if we throw enough doubt out there we can extend this for years.
What's your qualification to provide any medical advice? This virus is still not fully understood. It's being observed throughout the world that people who were thought to be recovered are having relapses and long term damage to their health. This is not over yet even though we all want it to be.
These are interesting results, albeit wrapped in some uncertainty. As of yet, we are still learning about this virus. Hopefully by the Fall we will be much better informed.
What's your qualification to provide any medical advice? This virus is still not fully understood. It's being observed throughout the world that people who were thought to be recovered are having relapses and long term damage to their health. This is not over yet even though we all want it to be.
So many medical experts on CD, they should be on the task force. So many unknowns on this virus people are jumping on solutions much too rapidly, we will no more in the next few months as some of these states reopen.
If the mortality rate used to be considered at 1% to 2% as we have heard for many weeks, these new antibody tests would mean that the mortality rate is more like 0.077% to 0.154%.
That's not much more than the ordinary seasonal flu.
Could it be that, even in a hugely crowded area like New York City, Covid-19 isn't much more dangerous than the flu? And never has been?
Remind me again, why exactly have we shut down most of the economy in the entire country? For a disease not much more dangerous than the flu?
Ya I'm pretty sure I caught the virus too Jan 8 before it was news. I was sick for about a week and recovered ...time to get to open up NY again
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
