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how many total were available? What % and raw # of ICU beds?
Maricopa County has 8,779 cases as of yesterday. They have 1,436 total Covid hospitalizations (16% of cases), 321 in an ICU bed (4% of cases). Most cases are elderly and Arizona does have a large elderly population with all the Sun City developments. Over of hospitalizations and ICU beds are elderly patients. I don't have numbers on total stock of beds nor ICU beds. Comorodities (though not broken down by ages is also high for hospitalizations and ICU beds.
The numbers will be revised. Cut that 100,000 in half if you want. Does it matter? Our federal administration blew it big time, and more and more people are realizing that. Who cares about the Russia/impeachment thing anymore? That didn't move the needle either way in the first place. But CV-19 is changing opinions of how capable our federal administration is, and it does not appear very capable.
It's also changing the opinions of how capable the state administrations also....yes?
how many total were available? What % and raw # of ICU beds?
Some of that is in the article that was linked:
Quote:
The state has not needed to use St. Luke's Medical Center in Phoenix, which had closed late last year, though it has been refurbishing the shuttered hospital for COVID-19 patients in the event of a surge.
Banner Health's Arizona ICU occupancy was 67% on Wednesday, and that does not include additional ICU beds the system has available, if needed, for a surge. Hospitals statewide had to prove to the state in April that they could expand their inpatient and ICU bed capacity by 25% to handle a worst-case scenario surge of COVID-19.
As of Wednesday, it had killed at least 831 Arizonans, most of them people over the age of 65. Johns Hopkins University was reporting the number of Americans killed by the virus as 100,047 on Wednesday afternoon.
Critical care beds and ventilators in use for suspected and confirmed COVID-19 individuals also reached record highs in Arizona on Tuesday, according to state data, with 375 ICU beds occupied and 237 ventilators in use. Previous highs were 344 ICU beds occupied on May 15 and 222 ventilators in use on May 14. https://www.azcentral.com/story/news...gh/5268059002/
I would say it will be at least 25% higher due to a lack of testing. I'm sure the poster you replied to really thought the official deaths of Swine Flu was 12k, not 4k. 12k came from going back and looking at additional features with flu like symptoms. You really don't think there have been deaths of people from Covid that wasn't tested Chucksnee? Oh wait, you'll claim they died from a car wreck with no damn proof. The Colorado stat was not sure to car wrecks mind you.
The numbers with current testing do not support your theory.
Positive test results are running from 7-9% the few states I checked, and that is largely testing folks with known symptoms who had some type of medical examination to receive a test.
With those type of test results on sick individuals, why is their an assumption there are 25% unaccounted for out there?
The numbers with current testing do not support your theory.
Positive test results are running from 7-9% the few states I checked, and that is largely testing folks with known symptoms who had some type of medical examination to receive a test.
With those type of test results on sick individuals, why is their an assumption there are 25% unaccounted for out there?
Many states are doing antibody testing now and, outside of areas that had high case loads, the results are only around 3% positive. They are near zero in rural areas that were spared so far. So any notion that there is general immunity is nothing but false hopes. Relatively very few people have had this virus and it is going to come back as soon as we get lax about masks and social distancing - IAW very soon.
how many total were available? What % and raw # of ICU beds?
Quote:
Originally Posted by mkpunk
Maricopa County has 8,779 cases as of yesterday. They have 1,436 total Covid hospitalizations (16% of cases), 321 in an ICU bed (4% of cases). Most cases are elderly and Arizona does have a large elderly population with all the Sun City developments. Over of hospitalizations and ICU beds are elderly patients. I don't have numbers on total stock of beds nor ICU beds. Comorodities (though not broken down by ages is also high for hospitalizations and ICU beds.
The state has not needed to use St. Luke's Medical Center in Phoenix, which had closed late last year, though it has been refurbishing the shuttered hospital for COVID-19 patients in the event of a surge.
Banner Health's Arizona ICU occupancy was 67% on Wednesday, and that does not include additional ICU beds the system has available, if needed, for a surge.
in Maricopa County, 275 of 386 deaths (71% of total deaths) were in nursing homes.
the problem is not knowing what total ICU capacity is, only that between other needs + 375 COVID patients, it's at 67%. is 33% of capacity 100 more beds or 1,000? Because if you're at your "all-time high" of 375, and you only have 100-bed margin, that's far more concerning than a 1,000-bed margin.
Right now they're at 82% occupancy and 1,848 beds used. That can be used to derive the math - they have 2,254 beds right now, and 406 available. So COVID hospitalizations could double and there's just barely enough capacity.
Many states are doing antibody testing now and, outside of areas that had high case loads, the results are only around 3% positive. They are near zero in rural areas that were spared so far. So any notion that there is general immunity is nothing but false hopes. Relatively very few people have had this virus and it is going to come back as soon as we get lax about masks and social distancing - IAW very soon.
I just heard that the positivity rate for antibody tests in my county is running about 9% versus the more rural parts of Virginia that are much lower. We are in a "hotspot" and even with that, the antibody positivity rate is pretty low.
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