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Polls represent the popular vote. Hillary won the popular vote.
The percentages were way off.
2020 Election is 5+ months away. Anything can happen.
Both candidates are seriously flawed and say a whole lot of really goofy stuff. We have a POTUS talking about injecting a disinfectant as a cure for Corona while the other is blabbering about his hairy legs and liking it when kids sit on his lap.
Based on right now, my crystal ball says a lot of people will likely sit out the election and Trump wins.
No the Polls said HILLARY would be elected President. There is only ONE WAY to be elected President. Win the Electoral College Vote. PERIOD.
You are amazingly misinformed.
Quote:
After a brutal week for Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, Democrat Hillary Clinton maintained a substantial projected advantage in the race to win the Electoral College and claim the U.S. presidency, according to the latest results from the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project released on Saturday.
If the election were held this week, the project estimates that Clinton's odds of securing the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the presidency at more than 95 percent, and by a margin of 118 Electoral College votes. It is the second week in a row that the project has estimated her odds so high.
The results mirror other Electoral College projections, some of which estimate Clinton's chance of winning at around 90 percent.
Biden has been holed up in his basement for 2 months and he's still beating Trump by 11%.
It's shocking that people cannot understand that ABH (Anyone But Hillary) wins.
Let us review, so that everyone stops acting stupid.
Trump lost the popular vote in 2016. Trump will lose the popular vote in 2020, because nothing fundamental has changed.
Trump won in 2016, only because he took the Electoral College.
Trump won the Electoral college only because 77,700 Democrats and Independents --- ~25,900 Democrats and Independents each --- in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin voted for Trump because they would rather gouge out their eyes and set their hair on fire than suffer Hillary as President.
Sorry, but a margin of 25,900 votes is not a blow-out. That's a razor thin victory and it is a victory that will not repeat in 2020.
As far as those 77,700 Democrats and Independents are concerned, Obiden is not Hillary. Obiden is Obama-lite and so they can tolerate Obiden.
Those 77,700 Democrats and Independents could even tolerate Obernie, because Obernie is not Hillary.
Obloomberg is not Hillary.
Obuttigieg is not Hillary.
Owarren is not Hillary.
Oharris is not Hillary.
Ogabbard is not Hillary.
The only thing that matters is that the Democrat candidate is not Hillary.
The 2020 Election will go almost exactly as the 2016 Election. Trump will lose the popular vote by nearly the exact same margin +/- 1%, because nothing fundamental has changed, and the difference will be Trump cannot win Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania, so he loses the Electoral College, too.
that's encouraging news!...they had Hillary with a 10 point lead in August 2016!
Yeah, except Hillary was campaigning...ACTIVELY. Reminding people of why they didn’t like her. And she still crushed Trump in the popular vote while not being liked. The dice just rolled in Trump’s favor.
There’s no Hillary to hate right now. And Biden is on a spacecraft somewhere orbiting Saturn. No one sees the guy. He’s still easily outpolling Trump.
Another conspiracy theorist here. I suppose the moon landing was also a rigged hoax.
Polls are designed to get the answers the pollster wants. No conspiracy. It is fact. They are designed to promote an agenda and advance a narrative. It is easy to craft a poll that gets the answers you want then focus that poll on the people that will most likely also give you those answers. Polling (Politics) 101.
These polls are mostly all consistent and agreed now that Biden is polling better. You can read all kinds of meaning into them, attack them, downplay them, etc. but they reflect reality. They are a snapshot of how people are feeling RIGHT NOW.
But November is a long way off and things , lots of things, can happen in the meantime. Even with my preference for Biden i would never attempt to predict who will win, by how much, etc. It's too early!!!
It's shocking that people cannot understand that ABH (Anyone But Hillary) wins.
Let us review, so that everyone stops acting stupid.
Trump lost the popular vote in 2016. Trump will lose the popular vote in 2020, because nothing fundamental has changed.
Trump won in 2016, only because he took the Electoral College.
Trump won the Electoral college only because 77,700 Democrats and Independents --- ~25,900 Democrats and Independents each --- in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin voted for Trump because they would rather gouge out their eyes and set their hair on fire than suffer Hillary as President.
Sorry, but a margin of 25,900 votes is not a blow-out. That's a razor thin victory and it is a victory that will not repeat in 2020.
As far as those 77,700 Democrats and Independents are concerned, Obiden is not Hillary. Obiden is Obama-lite and so they can tolerate Obiden.
Those 77,700 Democrats and Independents could even tolerate Obernie, because Obernie is not Hillary.
Obloomberg is not Hillary.
Obuttigieg is not Hillary.
Owarren is not Hillary.
Oharris is not Hillary.
Ogabbard is not Hillary.
The only thing that matters is that the Democrat candidate is not Hillary.
The 2020 Election will go almost exactly as the 2016 Election. Trump will lose the popular vote by nearly the exact same margin +/- 1%, because nothing fundamental has changed, and the difference will be Trump cannot win Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania, so he loses the Electoral College, too.
It's more like an 8% lead on 5/26. Always look at RCP not a single poll. Way too early in the year to have any significance, considering the rate of change of current events.
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