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The virology, epidemiology, public health group that I am in touch with communicates with Osterholm and his group regularly!
He actually called this a pandemic back in January when they confirmed human-human transfer. He went right over to 3M and said they should step up production of N95 masks. Very respected Epidemiologist at University of Minnesota, very honest and not afraid to say what he doesn't know.
On Jan. 20, just nine days after Chinese health authorities published the DNA sequence for a new coronavirus that had sickened dozens of people in China, Dr. Michael Osterholm, an epidemiologist at the University of Minnesota, wrote in an email: “I’m certain this will cause our next pandemic.”
Since March? He should have been right in January.
Even I was sounding the alarm here, in February, that this sh*t would crash the markets before it crashed the markets. By March, it doesn't take some genius to figure out our trajectory.
I will make a prediction. He will be wrong. Less people will die of Covid19 in November than they did in April.
I posted the Joe Rogan interview in March. That's what I was referring to
Interestingly the death rate in the US is not cooperating with this prognosis.
The case rate has been rising since a low of 26,000/day on Sept 7. The death rate has been dropping since Aug 11 and is showing no signs of a reversal.
Thank God we are learning on the go with COVID. Treatment today is better than in August and infinitely better since the beginning of this plague
I was discussing the Pandemic and treatment options with a Pulmonologist friend and he described today vs March as better by a logarithmic number and climbing daily
So, yes, cases up and deaths down. Hospitalizations are increasing again but deaths are decreasing
Now, the kicker. We still have no idea as to long term effects. We have seen an increase in coronary and pulmonary conditions.
Hospitalized COVID-19 patients were also at higher risk for 17 serious health complications, compared with flu patients.
Quote:
COVID-19 truly is more deadly than the flu — patients hospitalized with COVID-19 were five times more likely to die than those with the flu, according to a new study from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
What's more, the study found COVID-19 patients were at higher risk for 17 additional, serious health complications, including pneumonia, respiratory failure and blood clots, compared with flu patients. However, because the study only looked at hospitalized patients, it can't directly compare overall mortality rates between the two diseases.
had it once, passed the antibody test and everything......When they wanted more blood for testing I asked how much they would pay....... I told them to get a bigger checkbook............
There is some concern when we look back and see that we were a week or two behind Europe and they are surging now.
I thought we wouldn't see anything until after Thanksgiving.
It's too hard to ask everyone to stay home............
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