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Old 10-20-2020, 05:56 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,068 posts, read 51,180,367 times
Reputation: 28299

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The final IBD/TIPP had Trump by 1.6 in 2016. So they were off by about 4% to the right.
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Old 10-20-2020, 05:59 PM
 
18,556 posts, read 7,357,736 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cuebald View Post
The best and most accurate of all polls will be complete two weeks from today.
I doubt you believe it will be accurate, but it will be the one that matters.
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Old 10-20-2020, 06:13 PM
 
Location: San Diego
18,712 posts, read 7,590,420 times
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Biden's lead dwindles to 2.8%


That's pretty much expected. For as many elections as I can remember, the press (including pollsters) has pushed Democrat candidates as being WAY over the Republican cnadidate, by 10%, 20%, and even 30%... up until the last few weeks before the election. At which time the start backing off the silliness, and start coming closer to the margin by which the actual election comes out.

They don't want to look TOO stupid, of course, still predicting a 10% margin of victory the day before the election, only to have the other candidate stomp their guy (see: 2016).
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Old 10-20-2020, 07:00 PM
 
Location: Various
9,049 posts, read 3,518,819 times
Reputation: 5470
Quote:
Originally Posted by StillwaterTownie View Post
So IBD/TIPP got it right by predicting that Hillary would narrowly win the popular vote?
Yeah, problem was Hilary got it wrong in her campaign and won votes where she didn't need them.

You guys really cling to the "popular vote" win; pretending it means something.
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Old 10-20-2020, 07:04 PM
 
10,368 posts, read 6,928,458 times
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I finally got polled about who im voting for after submitting a form for cash as a criminal. Anyway I gave the polling center all wrong information.
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Old 10-20-2020, 07:12 PM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
16,569 posts, read 15,251,114 times
Reputation: 14590
Quote:
Originally Posted by saibot View Post
A friend of mine wrote on Facebook that he had abstained from voting for President in 2016 but was going to vote for Trump this time. I was surprised at how many people said that this described them, too. In fact, I'm one of them.
This is a fact. Trump has had no erosion in his support. Every so called bombshell we knew about in 2015. Trump of 2020 is the same as Trump 2016. Those who say I used to like Trump but don't now are lying. What votes has Biden picked up that Hillary, the first woman running for president, didn't? The passing for Trump is much higher this time. These parades are new. They didn't exist before. Why can't Biden get his own parade?
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Old 10-20-2020, 07:15 PM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
16,569 posts, read 15,251,114 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hbdwihdh378y9 View Post
Not true. He's lost several million women who dislike his personality and think he's a terrible role model for their children.
Heard all that in 2016. Access Hollywood tapes, rape allegations etc. What more did the "suburban women" needed? They are lying or the story is made up. As it turned out, white women went for Trump in 2016. Find me ONE story that predicted that.
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Old 10-20-2020, 07:16 PM
 
5,985 posts, read 2,913,952 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hawkeye2009 View Post
Agreed-

That’s why the numbers don’t add up. Nearly all Trump voters from 2016 are supporting Trump again.

In addition, Trump has picked up A LOT of democrats.

All of this points to Trump winning bigger than 2016.

Biden, with the new corruption revelations, is done.
Trump has lost a lot as well. I changed my party registration to democrat this year (for the first time in my life) just to be more impactful in getting Trump out of office.
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Old 10-20-2020, 07:22 PM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
16,569 posts, read 15,251,114 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marino760 View Post
In two weeks, more than half the country will have already voted via early voting and mail in ballots.
I agree. Trump is banking lots of votes before election day.
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Old 10-20-2020, 07:23 PM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
16,569 posts, read 15,251,114 times
Reputation: 14590
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuebald View Post
There are always outlier polls. The average of all of the polls has Joe up by 8.6.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...iden-6247.html
Average of a bunch of wrong polls is a wrong poll. Keep averaging.
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