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Old 11-01-2020, 02:13 PM
 
19,573 posts, read 8,516,836 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Goofball86 View Post
Uh not with terrible handling of covid they won't. The Dems are expected to expand their majority and have a good chance of taking the senate.
It appears that late breakers, and especially young voters are voting more heavily for Trump than anyone thought possible. Why? Because they think Joe Biden will impose a nationwide lockdown related to the Wuhan virus and they regard that as truly intolerable.

This virus thing is not working out for you guys the way that you hoped. Instead, it appears that your people's mishandling of it is backfiring big-time.
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Old 11-01-2020, 02:14 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,184 posts, read 19,457,116 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bu2 View Post
I read something that said 1 (or maybe 2). But I don't still have the link or the specific district (I think NY was the one).
CA-25 the GOP won back in the special election and it is expected to be competitive again. NC-2 and NC-6 are the new lines drawn by the GOP assembly, they have no chance at keeping those. NY-24, PA-1 and TX-23 were the districts the Dems didn't pick up in 2018 that Trump lost in 2016.
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Old 11-01-2020, 02:22 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spartacus713 View Post
The Republicans held those districts from 2010-2018. The last two years appear to be the anomoly. It was achieved on the back of the Democrat left's despicable Russian conspiracy lie and coup attempt. That has since been shown to be a flat out lie.

Those seats are not long-term seats held by the Democrats. They have only held them for the last two years. Do not be surprised if they switch back during this election.
It still counts.
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Old 11-01-2020, 02:27 PM
bu2
 
24,080 posts, read 14,875,404 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
CA-25 the GOP won back in the special election and it is expected to be competitive again. NC-2 and NC-6 are the new lines drawn by the GOP assembly, they have no chance at keeping those. NY-24, PA-1 and TX-23 were the districts the Dems didn't pick up in 2018 that Trump lost in 2016.
That makes sense.
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Old 11-01-2020, 02:29 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,184 posts, read 19,457,116 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spartacus713 View Post
The Republicans held those districts from 2010-2018. The last two years appear to be the anomoly. It was achieved on the back of the Democrat left's despicable Russian conspiracy lie and coup attempt. That has since been shown to be a flat out lie.

Those seats are not long-term seats held by the Democrats. They have only held them for the last two years. Do not be surprised if they switch back during this election.

Many of those seats are dem trending suburban districts with a large amount of college educated voters and Trump is showing no signs of improving in those areas.
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Old 11-01-2020, 02:33 PM
 
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Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Many of those seats are dem trending suburban districts with a large amount of college educated voters and Trump is showing no signs of improving in those areas.
Actually he is. Stay tuned....
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Old 11-01-2020, 03:10 PM
 
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
17,618 posts, read 6,905,165 times
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I can't believe the Democrats won't lose some House seats in the blue states that have been locked down since March/April.
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Old 11-01-2020, 04:34 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,184 posts, read 19,457,116 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spartacus713 View Post
Actually he is. Stay tuned....
Which of these suburban districts that trended away from him do you think will trend back? And/or GOP pick up in the House?
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Old 11-01-2020, 06:38 PM
 
19,573 posts, read 8,516,836 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Which of these suburban districts that trended away from him do you think will trend back? And/or GOP pick up in the House?
I think we could see a good number of those districts trending back. If the do, it is likely to be because of President Trump's coattails. It is not likely to be just a one-off situation.
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Old 11-01-2020, 06:41 PM
 
Location: Placitas, New Mexico
2,304 posts, read 2,961,788 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spartacus713 View Post
Wouldn't it be exciting if the Republicans gained the 17 seats they need in the House of Representatives to send Nancy Pelosi into retirement as Speaker of the House, once and for all?

Well, the experts are predicting that the Democrats will GAIN seats in Congress, and that Joe Biden will win nationally by 10 points (NBC). They were wrong about who would win what in 2016 and they look like they might very well be wrong again this election.


17 seats is not that many out of 435. That is all the Republicans need to win. They did a great job of winning these seats throughout the years of the Obama regime. They lost a bunch of seats in 2018 because of the Russian conspiracy lie that the Democrats and the media were aggressively pushing at the time.

This time, many late breakers appear to be motivated by concerns over policy choices regarding the Wuhan virus, but not the way that many expected. In fact, they are concerned that Joe Biden will lock them down again, and they are voting Republican to make sure that does not happen. For many people, this is a survival issue and not just a political one.

Will the Republicans win 17+ seats in Congress and take back control of the House? I do not know, but I think they have a much better chance than the "experts" are letting on. Stay tuned....
Supposition and conjecture. I don't know if the Dems gain or lose some, but they will continue to control the house. Hopefully, the Senate also.
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