Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
What will you be looking at to see if a discernible trend is developing that would offer indications for how things are likely to trend in other states that are yet to announce their results?
For example, would the margin of victory compared to the RCP average be any type of indicator? I don't think the demographic reporting will be available immediately to get some idea as to black and Hispanic voting trends.
Exit polling was completely off in 2016 I believe.
What other pointers are there for how how the voting is trending?
What will you be looking at to see if a discernible trend is developing that would offer indications for how things are likely to trend in other states that are yet to announce their results?
For example, would the margin of victory compared to the RCP average be any type of indicator? I don't think the demographic reporting will be available immediately to get some idea as to black and Hispanic voting trends.
Exit polling was completely off in 2016 I believe.
What other pointers are there for how how the voting is trending?
Well, I'll be playing an election night drinking game so I'll be looking at my breathalyzer frequently so I don't go too far. Depending on the bobbleheads...talking heads...I mean talking heads on the TV I may have to call the game early so I don't drink myself to death.
What will you be looking at to see if a discernible trend is developing that would offer indications for how things are likely to trend in other states that are yet to announce their results?
For example, would the margin of victory compared to the RCP average be any type of indicator? I don't think the demographic reporting will be available immediately to get some idea as to black and Hispanic voting trends.
Exit polling was completely off in 2016 I believe.
What other pointers are there for how how the voting is trending?
Why does one's racial group have to be brought into this? I'm sick of identity politics. We are all Americans, period!
Why does one's racial group have to be brought into this? I'm sick of identity politics. We are all Americans, period!
There have been several polls that suggest increased support from blacks and Hispanics for Trump. If that in fact materializes, it might suggest that would occur in other swing states which, in turn, could impact the results.
No, he doesn't. Biden wins without FL, OH or PA but he will still likely get 2 or 3 of them. If Biden gets PA or FL early, Trump has no path to victory.
This map is very revealing. Biden can lose every state shown as a toss up and if he wins two of the blue wall states and AZ, he wins.
Biden can also win if Texas flips. So Id watch Texas, Florida, and Pennsylvania. While Biden can win without them, if he takes any of them its probably over with except the whining.
As for early indications? Thats a tough one. Id look at the in person voting vs's the mail in ballots to get some clarity on whats going on. And of course watch how much the polls were off. If its pretty close, then Trumps done. If its as far off as it was in 2016? Trumps still lost. If its higher then even that record poor year...then he might win. But in the end it really will come down to a few states.
There have been several polls that suggest increased support from blacks and Hispanics for Trump. If that in fact materializes, it might suggest that would occur in other swing states which, in turn, could impact the results.
Yes, it could prove critical. If 10% of black voters go for Trump, that could swing the election - particularly PA and FL. Similar for Hispanics in FL - could swing the election.
How ironic if the minority groups that Dems feel “entitled” to end up being the ones who hand the election to President Trump.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.