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I don’t at all think that there is a deficit. I do think that talk of it is a large disinformation campaign by the left to discourage Trump voters. Trump voters are the hard working people who make this country run. The Police Officers, contractors, plumbers, farmers, and electricians. The last thing they want to do is stand in these long lines to vote if as the polls say Trump has no shot of winning.
Trump may indeed win Florida, but Biden doesn’t need it to win.
Joe Biden has a very narrow path to victory at this point. With all the states that are being conceded, now apparently including Florida, he is going to have to run the table. If Trump wins Arizona and North Carolina, which appears likely at this point, he only needs one more state in the rust belt to finish this off. Joe would need them all, including Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota.
It will not be a surprise to me if Trump wins all of those states.
I have convinced Never Trumpers to vote for him, I have convinced Clinton Democrats to vote for him, I have convinced black Democrats to vote for him... I pulled out the stops because the liars here and the media... Eat crow...
Lots of FL election day R vs D turnout comments at this link. They mention in that link that Miami-Dade isn't giving election day stats but most other counties in FL are
They mentioned FL is appearing that it will be total FL election turnout(combined early/mail/election day) anywhere from R+2 to R+4 (More Rs voting in election than Ds, but excluding the non-party/ind which is huge turnout)
FL 2016 turnout was R+4. But since 2016, FL Ind/non Party have moved from favoring Trump to Biden per polls. And more R in FL are voting Biden than they did Clinton in 2016 per polls.
Pundits say if turnout is R+3 or bluer in FL than Biden is favored. Redder than R+3 turnout will a close race in FL. ** My personal opinion is that Biden is still looking good in FL up until R+4.5 turnout due to the number of non-party that support Biden and also due to the crossover Rs that support Biden per the polls. If polls were wrong than all bets are off.
Well based on the current numbers vs 2016, Trump is performing 4% better between Dems and Repubs in early miami dade as of this morning's release. And .02% better in the state overall in early voting. Not sure if that is meaningful, because I am sure a lot of Republicans who would normally vote in person on election day voted early. So who knows. Lots of variables. But traditionally this would point to good things for Trump.
The Republican voter lead is now up to 83,935. This lead is increasing quite rapidly.
Forgot about that site. Thanks for the link. Interesting numbers. And if the soft turnout for Democrats continues through the day in Miami-Dade Biden is in trouble.
Votes are not being counted yet, but apparently 95% of all votes (compared to 2016) have already been cast.
At this point all they can only is assume that all Dems vote Biden and all Pubes vote Trump, which is probably pretty close to the truth, but it leaves out over 2 million independent votes.
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