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Old 11-03-2020, 10:20 AM
 
1,086 posts, read 442,492 times
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iden campaign manager Jen O'Malley Dillon: "We continue to have multiple pathways to 270 electoral votes" says they can win 270 even without PA and FL. Real time data not looking good for Democrats . Trump should win Florida by 4-5 points.
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Old 11-03-2020, 10:25 AM
 
Location: Ridgefield, WA
315 posts, read 116,382 times
Reputation: 505
He cannot, unless he somehow wins NC.

And NC isn't going blue if PA or FL are red.
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Old 11-03-2020, 10:46 AM
 
Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
7,737 posts, read 5,520,181 times
Reputation: 5978
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aville239 View Post
Sure he can. In fact he can win without FL, PA, or OH.

The question would become does the senior state of AZ feel compelled to kick Trump out of office due to the failed Covid response?
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Old 11-03-2020, 10:47 AM
 
Location: Honolulu/DMV Area/NYC
30,639 posts, read 18,235,725 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aville239 View Post
Sure he can. In fact he can win without FL, PA, or OH.
Sure, he can. But if you don't win Florida and Pennsylvania, do you really expect to win Arizona and the other key swing states?
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Old 11-03-2020, 10:48 AM
 
Location: The Woods
18,358 posts, read 26,499,682 times
Reputation: 11351
I think it highly unlikely Biden wins both WI and MI.
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Old 11-03-2020, 10:49 AM
 
4,540 posts, read 2,786,030 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by arctichomesteader View Post
I think it highly unlikely Biden wins both WI and MI.
I keep hearing Trump supporters say this with zero data to back it up.
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Old 11-03-2020, 10:52 AM
 
322 posts, read 244,711 times
Reputation: 555
Quote:
Originally Posted by thedirtypirate View Post
The question would become does the senior state of AZ feel compelled to kick Trump out of office due to the failed Covid response?
Well if Trump does win, they can always move to a Country were the leader handled Covid well and they have no cases or Lockdowns. Maybe everybody's beloved Europe.

Oh, wait.....
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Old 11-03-2020, 10:56 AM
 
Location: The Woods
18,358 posts, read 26,499,682 times
Reputation: 11351
Quote:
Originally Posted by Drewjdeg View Post
I keep hearing Trump supporters say this with zero data to back it up.
Trump won both by a narrow margin in 2016 and current polling suggests it's a close race there. It's a toss up but I expect at least one to go Trump again, although, once again, it's a toss up. We'll see. I doubt the riots did the dems any favors in WI.
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Old 11-03-2020, 11:01 AM
 
Location: East Lansing, MI
28,353 posts, read 16,385,616 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by arctichomesteader View Post
Trump won both by a narrow margin in 2016 and current polling suggests it's a close race there. It's a toss up but I expect at least one to go Trump again, although, once again, it's a toss up. We'll see. I doubt the riots did the dems any favors in WI.
Trump won MI by ~10K votes. Biden's RCP average right now is +4.2.

In Wisconsin Biden's RCP average is +6.7.
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Old 11-03-2020, 11:03 AM
 
Location: Ridgefield, WA
315 posts, read 116,382 times
Reputation: 505
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aville239 View Post
Sure he can. In fact he can win without FL, PA, or OH.
Biden taking AZ and a vote from NE is about as realistic as Trump taking NV or something.
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