Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 11-06-2020, 03:09 PM
 
Location: Flyover Country
26,212 posts, read 19,471,341 times
Reputation: 21678

Advertisements

Quote:
Originally Posted by TimAZ View Post
I lived in Gwinnett county for twenty years, it is not heavily Democrat, 50/50 at best.
They just released Gwinnett County ballots, and they went heavily Biden. Mail in ballots have skewed heavily towards Biden.

New numbers at 5:07 PM EST. : Biden's lead is 4,263 votes, with today as the deadline for the military provisional ballots, 8,000 of which could be counted.

Trump would need all of them to be returned, and for him to win over half of them. Fewer arriving means a higher percentage in Trump's favor needed to win. Very unlikely all 8,000 will arrive within the deadline.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 11-06-2020, 03:18 PM
 
5,086 posts, read 3,011,811 times
Reputation: 10943
Quote:
Originally Posted by odanny View Post
They just released Gwinnett County ballots, and they went heavily Biden. Mail in ballots have skewed heavily towards Biden.

New numbers at 5:07 PM EST. : Biden's lead is 4,263 votes, with today as the deadline for the military provisional ballots, 8,000 of which could be counted.

Trump would need all of them to be returned, and for him to win over half of them. Fewer arriving means a higher percentage in Trump's favor needed to win. Very unlikely all 8,000 will arrive within the deadline.
Still too close to call.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-06-2020, 03:19 PM
 
Location: Flyover Country
26,212 posts, read 19,471,341 times
Reputation: 21678
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimAZ View Post
Still too close to call.
Recount assured.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-06-2020, 03:42 PM
 
72,874 posts, read 62,362,868 times
Reputation: 21825
Quote:
Originally Posted by atltechdude View Post
Didn’t used to be, also Cobb used to be Republican majority.

Both are now solid D.
Yes it used to be, back in the 1990s. Not in 2020. Douglas County used to be Republican. Not since 2008. Henry and Rockdale counties used to be Republican. Not anymore. Things have changed.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-06-2020, 03:45 PM
 
37,315 posts, read 59,690,076 times
Reputation: 25340
Quote:
Originally Posted by odanny View Post
Recount assured.
And a recount will go much quicker than this
And come out the same
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-06-2020, 03:48 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,834 posts, read 7,386,464 times
Reputation: 8966
Quote:
Originally Posted by green_mariner View Post
Yes it used to be, back in the 1990s. Not in 2020. Douglas County used to be Republican. Not since 2008. Henry and Rockdale counties used to be Republican. Not anymore. Things have changed.
Yep, I remember when the only reliably D counties in Atlanta were Fulton, Dekalb, and Clayton.

Things have changed quite a bit since then.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-06-2020, 03:58 PM
 
5,938 posts, read 4,685,811 times
Reputation: 4630
Quote:
Originally Posted by odanny View Post
They just released Gwinnett County ballots, and they went heavily Biden. Mail in ballots have skewed heavily towards Biden.

New numbers at 5:07 PM EST. : Biden's lead is 4,263 votes, with today as the deadline for the military provisional ballots, 8,000 of which could be counted.

Trump would need all of them to be returned, and for him to win over half of them. Fewer arriving means a higher percentage in Trump's favor needed to win. Very unlikely all 8,000 will arrive within the deadline.
It is far more than half of them. If Trump is down by 4263, he'd need:

Trump needs 6132 of the 8000
Biden would get 1868 of the 8000

That is a 77/23 split for Trump.

Is it possible? Sure. But it is far more than half. Half would net him nothing against Biden's margin.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-06-2020, 04:25 PM
 
Location: Boston, MA
3,966 posts, read 5,736,813 times
Reputation: 4717
Quote:
Originally Posted by dspguy View Post
It is far more than half of them. If Trump is down by 4263, he'd need:

Trump needs 6132 of the 8000
Biden would get 1868 of the 8000

That is a 77/23 split for Trump.

Is it possible? Sure. But it is far more than half. Half would net him nothing against Biden's margin.
And that's only assuming that the normally Republican military members remained in support of Trump. Remember he had put a few noses out of joint by badmouthing veterans, generals, and John McCain in the past. That and instances such as the fiasco with Thomas Modly and the handling of the USS Theodore Roosevelt could have put a damper to support for the president among certain military members. I'm no psychic or mind reader but I think it is premature to assume Trump will easily win most or all military votes.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-06-2020, 04:28 PM
 
72,874 posts, read 62,362,868 times
Reputation: 21825
Quote:
Originally Posted by atltechdude View Post
Yep, I remember when the only reliably D counties in Atlanta were Fulton, Dekalb, and Clayton.

Things have changed quite a bit since then.
Georgia has been growing rapidly over the past 40 years. This has played a big role in it.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-06-2020, 04:29 PM
 
Location: Spain
12,722 posts, read 7,533,782 times
Reputation: 22633
That 4,000 (if it sticks) is a big deal, it's uncommon but there have been recounts that could have put a lead of under 1,000 in jeopardy. No recount has ever come anywhere near a 4,000 vote shift.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies
Similar Threads

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 12:12 PM.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top