Interesting, how a the IHME model who's backers aren't Trumpers is showing a massive decline in hospitalizations in the Dakotas at the beginning of the year, while it skyrockets in Democratic States like California and Colorado.
I was watching doctors who supported Biden who now are confessing that COVID-19 will run through the population sadly by the Spring sadly.
Interesting also, how the model looks much different now than a month ago. I wonder if the truth is now coming out all of the sudden.
Seems as though these models are figuring out the combination of factors will temporarily put out the vast majority of COVID-19 in rural northern states, while gradually more and more become infected and hospitalizations will surge in Democratic California and Democratic Colorado.
The vaccine won't be effective and widely available until the Spring because it takes a over a month because of the two doses and the time it takes to aquire antibodies.
Interesting, how the models have been changing their predictions. I wonder if they are basing the prediction based on the fact that North Dakota, South Dakota and many other Republican states will have 50% T-Cell responses to COVID-19 with the remainder either with COVID-19 antibodies and the rest of the population are people who rarely if ever leave their residence and live a socially distanced lifestyle.
The models are showing states like California will have a massive 600% surge in hospitalizations by February and Colorado will see about 400% increase.
Considering 50% of the population " who hadn’t been exposed to SARS-CoV-2 showed T cell responses against different parts of the SARS-CoV-2 virus" according to an article on the NIH website and the fact that well over 10,000+ are current spreading COVID-19 in North Dakota rapidly to others it seems as though that one can find some logic on the models.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/unite...erica/colorado
https://covid19.healthdata.org/unite...ica/california
https://covid19.healthdata.org/unite...a/north-dakota
https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3563
https://www.nih.gov/news-events/nih-...ize-sars-cov-2
https://bismarcktribune.com/news/loc...37c5f4f71.html