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Originally Posted by Roboteer
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I don't have to click on the thumbnail because your analysis is all wrong.
Do let us know when you understand the difference between Demand-pull Inflation, which is caused by you, and Monetary Inflation, which is caused by the policies of central bank and/or government.
Percent Change = (New - Old) / Old
January CPI = 263.612
May CPI = 255.296
% Change = (263.612 - 255.296) / 255.296 = 3.257%
I just debunked your thread.
A rate of 3%-5% for combined forms of inflation (Demand-pull, Cost-push and Monetary) is perfectly normal.
Your combined rate of inflation over the last 40 years is 2.7% and only 2 countries have done better: Switzerland and Britain.
The only reason we're seeing a teeny-weeny-tiny spike is gasoline prices.
You had a problem with a pipeline and everyone's got cabin fever and dying to get out of the house.
You think you start an oil well with a mouse-click? Is that what you thought?
That ain't how it works. When the price of oil drops below a certain point, there are many wells that are not profitable to pump. Those wells are shut down. An oil service crew -- which is what Haliburton does -- goes out and caps the well. Then they pump air through the feeder pipelines and shut off the valves up to the main pipeline. Then you set all the equipment and machinery for long-term storage, so you drain all the hydraulic and other fluids out.
To restart the well, you reverse the process. Get machinery and equipment ready, uncap the well, bleed the air out of the feeder pipeline and start pumping.
That's 10-14 days for starting or stopping.
And, no, sorry, oil services crews aren't camped out in a 5th-wheel eating pork and beans and playing pinochle waiting for some to tell them to start the well.
You got more than 950,000 wells, not counting off-shore platforms. If you're gonna have a crew camped out at every one of those you'd be lucky to pay $27/gallon for gasoline on a good day.
Are you cable rates going up? Cell-phone rates? Electric rates? Eggs, cheese, butter, milk, clothes? Tampons? Condoms?
Your wages?
No, they're not so your thread is dead.
How do you think Germans in the Wiemar Republic could afford to pay 320 Million Marks for a newspaper?
Well, duh, it's because they got paid 4 Billion Marks/hour.
The price of a handful of things rising because of Supply/Demand issues is not the Federal Reserves' fault. See if you can wrap your brain around that.