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Originally Posted by 2nd trick op
The bond between the evangelicals and the Republican Party reached its greatest strength with the "out of the pews / into the polls" movement of the early 1980's; it has been weakening ever since. And this does not factor in many younger Republicans who (symbolically) abandoned the GOP in favor of the Libertarians during the same years, but can be counted on for support both with regard to economic issues. and the loutish behavior of many Democrats and "wokesters".
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My read of the situation is this: Ask the oldest Evangelicals you can find when they started going to church. All sets of my grandparents and great-grandparents whose stories I know were little more than cultural Christians until the late 60s-80s.
In the 50s, when white America was on top of the world, taxes were over 50% for the highest brackets. The US Federal government organized the formerly wartime industrial capabilities toward public works projects like improving highways, the Space Race, and building nice schools to educate the masses. The average age of bridges and schools nationwide date to the mid-20th Century despite the population being less than half the current size. White America in the 1950s was what many today would call “socialist”.
But after the 60s, many social conservatives started retreating into charismatic Evangelical churches. Nixon recognized this concentration of puritans and/or white supremacists was ripe for convincing angry and/or scared people to defund the government organizations that had built their roads, schools, and took the US to the moon. They’d perfected the messaging by the Reagan administration. From Lee Atwater, one of Reagan’s top advisors and former president of the GOP:
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You start out in 1954 by saying, "N——r, n——r, n——r". By 1968 you can't say "n——r"—that hurts you. Backfires. So you say stuff like forced busing, states' rights and all that stuff. You're getting so abstract now [that] you're talking about cutting taxes, and all these things you're talking about are totally economic things and a byproduct of them is [that] blacks get hurt worse than whites. And subconsciously maybe that is part of it. I'm not saying that. But I'm saying that if it is getting that abstract, and that coded, that we are doing away with the racial problem one way or the other. You follow me—because obviously sitting around saying, "We want to cut this", is much more abstract than even the busing thing, and a hell of a lot more abstract than "N——r, n——r". So, any way you look at it, race is coming on the back-burner.
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This is not to say that all Republicans are religious or racist or puritan, just that they’ve been embedded politically for so long that now there’s cultural convergence and the ideas are all blurring into each other.
Republicans have never had a hard time capturing the libertarian/misanthropic secular vote, and even they’re getting harder to distinguish from the rest of the coalition.