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Does anyone really think Republicans win back anything next year or 2024 realistically? The party is in shambles and they are the MINORITY at this point
Does anyone really think Republicans win back anything next year or 2024 realistically? The party is in shambles and they are the MINORITY at this point
Name one thing democrats have done since puppet Joe became president that has made America better.
One of the defining characteristics of Trump's presidency was drama. Since Biden took office, things have calmed down significantly. That plays very well in the democrats favor going into midterms. In my personal experience, people really like how much less drama there's been over the last few months. It could go either way, but I think the GOP has an uphill battle.
I think the Republicans can absolutely win in 2024 but they need to put forward a more moderate candidate that is not the new torch-bearer for Trump. Someone more fiscally conservative than Trump but less conservative on social issues such as abortion. And yes, hopefully someone who won't throw Molotov cocktails at every opportunity. There are a lot of people out there, myself included, itching to vote for someone other than Biden and hoping for a better choice than in 2020.
3. White non-college Republicans outnumber white non-college Democrats by roughly 2 to 1.
4. White non-college has been losing an average of 2% to 3% of its share of eligible voters every four year election cycle for at least 30 years.
5. White non-college voters are predicted to lose share of eligible voters with every POTUS election through at least 2036.
6. By 2036, minority voters combined with white college grads will outnumber white non-college voters in many states.
7. Even with Trump gaining a higher percentage of minority voters than in 2016, the increase in turnout of minority voters in 2020 left him further behind in terms of raw votes.
8. There's a limit to how long the Republicans can depend on increased turnout of non-college whites to cover their declining percentage of eligible voters.
Demographics are not destiny, and simulations of future elections are not predictions, but despite the gains that Trump made in the minority vote in 2020, the Republicans haven’t made a scratch, let alone a dent, in overcoming their long-term problem.
Last edited by Bureaucat; 08-01-2021 at 08:12 AM..
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