South Africa...Omicron so weak...South Africa will Stop Tracing and Quarantining of Contacts (healthcare, economic)
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you know....the verdicts/opinions on this thing are all over the place...whatever....everyone make up their own minds
"South Africa ministers announced the country is moving to stop contact tracing and quarantining of Omicron contacts. Healthcare experts discovered the Omicron is so weak that they do not need to trace the Omicron variant among the people."
"The Ministerial Advisory Committee (MAC) on Covid-19 has written to Health Minister Joe Phaahla, recommending that the quarantining of contacts be stopped as it is no longer viable in the current social and economic climate.
Furthermore, the committee said contact tracing was no longer necessary and should also be halted with immediate effect…
…With only a small number of contacts identified from a proportionally small Covid-19 cases, quarantining was no longer effective for containing the spread of the disease, MAC said.
The committee said testing was highly skewed toward detecting symptomatic cases, while the vast majority of cases are asymptomatic and go undetected.
“In addition, among the small proportion of symptomatic cases, testing is far from universal, since patients may not seek testing when their symptoms are mild and when testing would be burdensome and expensive. Furthermore, the SARS-CoV-2 test sensitivity is suboptimal, sometimes leading to false negative results."
While RSA experience is hopeful, we need to consider that RSA is not USA. They are very young at 27 average age and the seroprevalence there is estimated at 90%. USA is much older and we have a seroprevalence of maybe 80% with a much larger country and not uniformly distributed. We should keep our fingers crossed, but not read too, too much into RSA.
UK will tell us much more about what to expect here, but even then, the wide range of vaccination and infection status around a big country like the US has to be considered.
While RSA experience is hopeful, we need to consider that RSA is not USA. They are very young at 27 average age and the seroprevalence there is estimated at 90%. USA is much older and we have a seroprevalence of maybe 80% with a much larger country and not uniformly distributed. We should keep our fingers crossed, but not read too, too much into RSA.
UK will tell us much more about what to expect here, but even then, the wide range of vaccination and infection status around a big country like the US has to be considered.
1. I really wish we focused more on seroprevalence than vaccination rates... (I have been vaccinated, and tell everyone that its the best option).
2. Im still pulling for Omi being mild.... Just saying... I agree that RSA isnt really an indicator for how the US will fare. Time will tell.
well, they've had it the longest....and have studied it the longest
“In addition, among the small proportion of symptomatic cases, testing is far from universal, since patients may not seek testing when their symptoms are mild and when testing would be burdensome and expensive. Furthermore, the SARS-CoV-2 test sensitivity is suboptimal, sometimes leading to false negative results.”
well, they've had it the longest....and have studied it the longest
“In addition, among the small proportion of symptomatic cases, testing is far from universal, since patients may not seek testing when their symptoms are mild and when testing would be burdensome and expensive. Furthermore, the SARS-CoV-2 test sensitivity is suboptimal, sometimes leading to false negative results.”
Their experience is a good indicator of what happens when a new, highly contagious variant strikes a young population where almost everyone has had prior exposure to other variants from vaccination or actual infection. Is there a good parallel to that in the US? College campuses maybe. We don't know what will happen when it hits nursing homes or The Villages in Florida. We will know very soon though.
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