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Old 05-04-2022, 07:06 AM
 
Location: The Piedmont of North Carolina
6,021 posts, read 2,843,063 times
Reputation: 7640

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I have not seen an article written about this, so I did this research, and math, on my own accord.

2018 results: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...elections.html

2022 results: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...ults-ohio.html

2018 Governor: Republican: 859,000 votes Democratic: 679,000 votes

2022 Governor: Republican: 1,068,000 votes Democratic: Once counting is completed, the total will likely be around 575,000 votes.

There was an uncontested Democratic Senate primary in 2018, so I cannot compare that race's turnout.

2018 Senate: Republican: 760,000 votes Democratic: Unknown

2022 Senate: Republican: 1,059,000 votes Democratic: Once counting is completed, the total will likely be around 600,000 votes. (This race is actually a 300,000 vote improvement for the Republicans)
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Old 05-04-2022, 09:21 AM
 
Location: Free State of Florida
25,732 posts, read 12,808,029 times
Reputation: 19298
Thx for providing this data. The 1st thing I do when I see primary results is tally the total Republican primary votes, and compare them to the total Democrat primary votes.

Then, I look to see if that state has a closed or open primary.

Ohio is Open, so the results posted above are signaling a Republican Red wave in November.

The Dems know this, so most of what we read & see in the fake news now, is Dem counter-measures (abortion distraction)

Most of what we see & read now are diversions so voters don't think about:

-Inflation
-Ukraine
-The deadly Afghanistan pull out
-Hunter Biden & the Biden family crime syndicate
-Wide open borders
-Biden's bad coronavirus response (more deaths, forced masking, shortages of tests & monoclonal antibody drugs)
-Libs war on kids & students (failed inner-city schools, CRT, no school choice, masking, sex programming)
-Our failed healthcare system
-Soaring murder rates in Lib controlled areas
-Increasing drug overdoses
-Rampant homelesness

These Ohio results are a foreshadowing of what will happen in November...massive Lib losses.
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Old 05-04-2022, 09:24 AM
 
Location: OH->FL->NJ
17,004 posts, read 12,589,940 times
Reputation: 8923
Ohio has been drifting red for at least 16 years. Not really a purple state any more. More like light red which Dems should try for when they have someone like Sherrod Brown who is still pro labor. A Dem type very much on the endangered species list.

Many remaining Dem voters would be considered "Reagan Dems" rather than wokes which predominate the college areas.
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Old 05-04-2022, 10:04 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,187 posts, read 19,459,426 times
Reputation: 5303
Ohio has certainly been becoming more Republican, but it is worth noting, how competitive a Primary is or isn't certainly drives turnout. In 2018 neither the Republicans or the Democrats had competitive primaries for Governor or Senate (the GOP maybe slightly for Senate, but not much) This year again the Democrats did not have a competitive Primary for either Governor or Senate, however the Republicans certainly did for both races, with the Senate race being the most expensive Primary in the History of the state.
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Old 05-04-2022, 10:49 AM
 
Location: Cape Cod
24,490 posts, read 17,226,594 times
Reputation: 35783
It is great to see such turnout for the Republican candidates because we all know that any Rep begins their campaign behind any Democrat. The Reps need to raise more money to combat the Free media coverage that is piled on the Dem and to mitigate the negatives the media heaps on the Rep. The Rep also needs to sway more voters to actually get off their butts and out to vote for them in much greater numbers than the Dem. They also need to get enough votes to counter the fraud, cheating and ballot counting shenanigans that the Dems will bring to any election.



It is always an uphill battle for any Republican and it is great to see that the Ohio voters turned out to show the deny the Democrat.

We need to see this in every state come November.
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Old 05-04-2022, 10:59 AM
 
Location: Barrington
63,919 posts, read 46,731,596 times
Reputation: 20674
For the past 28 years every POTUS, Clinton, Bush 2, Obama and Trump, entered office with a majority and then lost it. The trend will persist.
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Old 05-04-2022, 11:04 AM
 
Location: Barrington
63,919 posts, read 46,731,596 times
Reputation: 20674
Quote:
Originally Posted by ottomobeale View Post
Ohio has been drifting red for at least 16 years. Not really a purple state any more. More like light red which Dems should try for when they have someone like Sherrod Brown who is still pro labor. A Dem type very much on the endangered species list.

Many remaining Dem voters would be considered "Reagan Dems" rather than wokes which predominate the college areas.
The so called “woke” vote seems exaggerated, especially in primaries.
It takes more effort to locate a stamp and mail in a ballot from school than to post opinions online.
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Old 05-04-2022, 11:16 AM
 
Location: Connecticut
3,730 posts, read 1,320,791 times
Reputation: 3486
Quote:
Originally Posted by middle-aged mom View Post
The so called “woke” vote seems exaggerated, especially in primaries.
It takes more effort to locate a stamp and mail in a ballot from school than to post opinions online.



Nah, not exaggerated. Your party has gone so far left and has become so woke that it's nauseating. The fact that you guys are touting that it's racist to require an ID to vote and to vote in person is proof of that.



Moving on:


Last night was proof that Trump still is the face of the GOP. Multiple candidates he endorsed won. Hell JD Vance skyrocketed in the Ohio polls the second Trump endorsed him. For all the CD posters who think Trump doesn't matter anymore, well, you're wrong once again.
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Old 05-04-2022, 05:18 PM
 
Location: The Piedmont of North Carolina
6,021 posts, read 2,843,063 times
Reputation: 7640
Quote:
Originally Posted by FordBronco1967 View Post
I have not seen an article written about this, so I did this research, and math, on my own accord.

2018 results: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...elections.html

2022 results: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...ults-ohio.html

2018 Governor: Republican: 859,000 votes Democratic: 679,000 votes

2022 Governor: Republican: 1,068,000 votes Democratic: 502,000 votes

There was an uncontested Democratic Senate primary in 2018, so I cannot compare that race's turnout.

2018 Senate: Republican: 760,000 votes Democratic: Unknown

2022 Senate: Republican: 1,059,000 votes Democratic: 510,000 votes (This race is actually a 300,000 vote improvement for the Republicans)
The results are worse for Democrats than I had originally counted for. Updated totals in bold.

So, the Republicans gained around 250,000 votes and the Democrats actually lost around 170,000 votes, which is 70,000 more votes than I thought they would lose.
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Old 05-04-2022, 05:48 PM
 
Location: Colorado
4,031 posts, read 2,715,223 times
Reputation: 7516
According to this article, there were nearly 8 million registered voters in Ohio in October 2021 (presumably, this hasn't changed much to this point.) 947,027 are registered Democrats, 836,080 are registered Republicans, and over 6 million are unaffiliated.

If about 1 million people voted in the Republican primary, and half that in the Democratic primary, then that means there's 6.5 million people (roughly) who didn't vote in the primaries at all. The question will be then, if those 6.5 million people show up for the general election, and which way they vote at that point and time.

I don't dispute that Ohio has been trending reddish, but I don't know that I'd be comfortable predicting a red wave with that large a chunk of the voting population not accounted for.


https://www.ohiosos.gov/media-center.../2021-10-01-a/
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