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Most polls (even the liberal ones) show that citizens care about THE ECONOMY, not abortion. The dems are getting slaughtered and their hopes that jan 6th and abortion would save them from their incompetence and mismanagement of the economy have faded.
WAKE UP
Insane? ???
I've followed QuakerBaker for awhile, and although I usually disagree with her posts, she's surprisingly wise beyond her youthful years.
There are two issues which may have shocked some people into voting all (D), even for the first time.
IN his concurring opinion in the abortion case, Clarence Thomas lays out a path so that states could once again criminalize being gay. This is Taliban quality stuff.
And the devastating testimony to the January 6th committee has more and more people realizing that a nearly-successful coup almost flushed our proud history as a free democracy down the toilet.
I'm registered R, never failed to vote R until Trump, now it seems we need to VERO - vote every republican out. We'll clean up the fine points about policy later - first let's save the Republic.
There is a significant faction of conservative voters who refuse to answer polls, and thus Republicans have greatly over-performed polling averages in recent election cycles, even if they don't win. Political fundamentals should be much more useful than polls for a realistic assessment of how the midterms will turn out.
The most important metric to look at for midterms is presidential approval rate, and Biden is struggling to get 40%. From RealClearPolitics - President Biden Job Approval: People who disapprove of the president almost always either vote for the opposition party, unless they sit out the midterm. If only a little over 40% of voters support Democrats for Congress, they're not just going to lose the majority - they could be deeper in the minority (particularly in the House) than they have been for nearly a century.
Abortion isn't the hill I suspect most Americans want to die on. Once they've had time to take a step back and regain their perspective it'll be quickly understood that the economic and foreign policy trajectory of this country is leading the US down a path of unsustainable inflation with shortages in goods that you would see in a failed socialist 'republic'. Much of the public was already opposed to abortion to one degree or another. The push for third trimester abortions and even post birth killings in some states like Virginia pushes the issue beyond the point of argumentative tolerance. Not even the much-vaunted 'progressive' nations of Europe allow late term abortions although some of them come awfully close.
Adding to that these polls are suspect simply due to the information we have circulating concerning the approval of this 'president' who much of the public considers to be a figurehead for the nation's state of affairs.
These polls have always trended Democrat. Here are the comparable polls from before the Roe decision:
YouGov Democrat +4 (Adults survey like the recent one, June 10-13)
Morning Consult (Past 6) Tie, +2 Democrat, Tie, +4 Democrat, +2 Democrat, +2 Democrat (RV like the recent one)
Marist College Democrat +5 (RV, May 9-13)
Maybe look at polls that haven't been historically biased towards Democrats before you make a proclamation?
The two reliable pollsters I always follow have not shown any major change for months. They have it Republican plus 7–9 consistently
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