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Old 07-28-2022, 12:48 PM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,862 posts, read 9,515,083 times
Reputation: 15573

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Quote:
Originally Posted by SAN_Man View Post
2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP. The entire year of 2022 is in contraction. It only took Biden 11 months to destroy the rocketing post pandemic rebound economy. That's pretty hard to do.
It's terribly curious I'm still not getting any responses to this observation:
Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
It has always been just an informal definition.

Once again ... in Q1 and Q2 1947 we had 2 consecutive quarters of GDP contraction, but did not enter a recession. What is your explanation for that?

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A191RL1Q225SBEA
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Old 07-28-2022, 12:50 PM
 
Location: Southeast US
8,609 posts, read 2,306,006 times
Reputation: 2114
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisC View Post
Better take those Rah Rah Biden Glasses off. They are clouding your vision.



Look doctor, I know all the symptoms are there and I know the x-rays definitively show massive malignant tumors in my lungs and I know that I can barely breath and I know five other doctors have told me the same thing... but I don't officially have lung cancer.
It's more like "but until that 1 test comes back a month from now, we won't call it lung cancer. And hey, let's wait until then to begin treating it while we're at it."
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Old 07-28-2022, 12:50 PM
 
5,918 posts, read 2,749,998 times
Reputation: 3421
And all of those jobs that Biden "created", were just jobs that were lost during the China Flu pandemic, that began to be filled as states that were shut down for far too long, began to reopen.
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Old 07-28-2022, 12:53 PM
 
Location: NMB, SC
43,053 posts, read 18,216,027 times
Reputation: 34926
Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
It's terribly curious I'm still not getting any responses to this observation:
Are you trying to redefine what a recession is too ?
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Old 07-28-2022, 12:55 PM
 
Location: King County, WA
15,816 posts, read 6,523,439 times
Reputation: 13297
It's technically a recession, but an odd one. Some of the economic disruption caused by the pandemic is still working its way through the system. It may be a few years before things return to equilibrium.
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Old 07-28-2022, 12:57 PM
 
45,542 posts, read 27,146,343 times
Reputation: 23855
Defining all of the terms...

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Old 07-28-2022, 12:58 PM
 
30,058 posts, read 18,650,451 times
Reputation: 20860
Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
It's terribly curious I'm still not getting any responses to this observation:
Like other lunatic democrats, redefining a turd does not remove the smell.

No one is as gullible and dense as a liberal. Save your breath; everyone knows we are in a recession and Biden put us there. There is no spin that can change that.
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Old 07-28-2022, 01:00 PM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,862 posts, read 9,515,083 times
Reputation: 15573
Quote:
Originally Posted by TMSRetired View Post
Are you trying to redefine what a recession is too ?
Unsurprisingly this is the only kind of response I get.

Let's try this again ... In Q1 and Q2 1947 we had 2 consecutive quarters of GDP contraction, but did not enter a recession. What is your explanation for that?

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A191RL1Q225SBEA

If 2 consecutive quarters of GDP contraction was the official definition of a recession, then we would have entered an official recession in early 1947.

That we had 2 consecutive quarters of GDP contraction in early 1947 but did not enter a recession, tells you that 2 consecutive quarters of GDP contraction is not the official definition of a recession. It is just an informal one.

I wonder how many more times I'm going to have to explain that?

The official arbiter of recession start and end dates - the NBER - does not even use GDP as one of their criteria.
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Old 07-28-2022, 01:01 PM
 
Location: Southeast US
8,609 posts, read 2,306,006 times
Reputation: 2114
Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
Here is job growth in this "recession."

Jan 2022: +504,000 jobs
Feb 2022: +714,000 jobs
Mar 2022: +398,000 jobs
Apr 2022: +368,000 jobs
May 2022: +384,000 jobs
Jun 2022: +372,000 jobs

source

And the unemployment rate has fallen from 4.0% to 3.6%.

Yeah, some "recession."
I'm sure the Dem Cabinet members, Econ Advisers, and pundits have already been instructed to cease and desist on calling them "recovered" again and go back to "new jobs".

Is it above the historical trend leading to Dec 2020?

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS12500000

Congrats to Biden though, he did get FT employment back to pre-pandemic levels in February '22. They're even 0.8% above.

But we're at least 2MM behind trend.
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Old 07-28-2022, 01:02 PM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,862 posts, read 9,515,083 times
Reputation: 15573
Quote:
Originally Posted by hawkeye2009 View Post
Like other lunatic democrats, redefining a turd does not remove the smell. ...
I see that you, too, cannot actually respond to my comment.

Answer the question directly: In Q1 and Q2 1947 we had 2 consecutive quarters of GDP contraction. But we did not enter an official recession. What is your explanation for that?
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