Mr. Trump is certainly doing his part:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...p-jews-israel/
"Former president Donald Trump attacked American Jews in a post on his Truth Social platform on Sunday, saying Jews in the United States must “get their act together” and show more appreciation for the state of Israel “before it is too late."
However, I assume most people of the Jewish faith will ignore what he posts on his failing platform.
I still maintain that this election cannot be predicted by polls.
Example: the Kansas vote concerning allowing the state legislature to amend the state Constitution to ban abortion. Prior to the vote, polls indicated a tight race, with the anti-abortion vote having the edge by 2 to 3 points. Yet, as we now know, the vote against this law was defeated by 18 points.
It is a theory, which I now believe, that there is a segment of the public, including women, that will tell a pollster one thing, yet vote otherwise.
Think about it. When my wife and I go to the polling station, she may tell me she is voting for X, but she may actually vote for Y. I can't do anything but accept her word, since her vote is secret.
I have noted before, before the 2020 race, that the science of polling was in a flux. Polling initially was begun by Mr. Gallop in the early 1930s, but he had to rely on literally asking people walking in the streets for their opinion. He tried to be scientific, by pulling over people that he thought 'looked' like a demographic. But his results were poor.
He did better when most households began to have land-based telephones. Yet, even in those early days, he would be wrong. Witness the "Dewey Wins" photo (look it up).
As the years passed, Mr. Gallop became more scientific in his telephone polling (as more households had phones), and his results became more accurate.
Then, the Internet was introduced, followed by cell phones.
Internet polling was ignored. As for cell phones, they were rare until Apple reared its head.
Note to the young: in the early days, to use a phone in your car, you needed an antennae. Oddly enough, stores sold fake car-phone antennas, so people would think you owned a car phone (which was different from a 'cell' phone).
Apple introduced their cellular iPhone in 2007. Think of that. Only 15 years ago. Yet, it became a hit, selling millions.
It is now estimated that 97 percent of Americans have a cell phone. See:
https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/fact-sheet/mobile/
Many, like myself (and I only did this two years ago) have discarded their landlines and have only cell phones. The percentage of Americans that still have a landline phone is fast decreasing, with the majority of those still having such phones limited to the elderly. Of course, many of these also have a cell phone.
As such, polling again has to change.
I see many polls that cite a combination of landlines, cell phones and Internet sampling. Internet?
Kansas: Why was the polling so wrong? Were the pollsters only calling landlines, hence older people? Were they including 'internet' polls? I have no idea.
But wrong they were.
Also in the 19th district of New York.
I think that this upcoming election is a 'societal' election. People may tell a pollster that they are 'worried about the economy', but once inside the voting booth, they will think about how Republicans are pushing for women that obtain an abortion to be jailed, even executed, as well as the doctors. Of how some Republicans have opined that a woman of child-bearing age must show that she is not pregnant, before being allowed to leave the state. Of how women must provide data concerning their periods.
Yes, these women may not like paying higher prices for gas and food, but they will look at the alternative advanced by Trump Republicans.
They will vote accordingly.