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Another interesting, data-driven article by Ron Brownstein in The Atlantic.
A study of America’s Congressional Districts finds that they are divided into 4 quadrants by race and white educational attainment.
In house districts that are below the national average for racial diversity and for white college graduates (so called LO-LO districts) the Republicans hold an overwhelming 142 to 21 lead over the Democrats.
In LO-HI districts (low minority/high white college grads): D 37 R 30
In HI-LO districts (high minority/low white college grads): D 57 R 35
In HI-HI districts (high minority/high white college grads): D 98 R 15
Quote:
The intense Republican reliance on this single type of mostly white, blue-collar district helps explain why the energy in the party over recent years has shifted from the small-government arguments that drove the GOP in the Reagan era toward the unremitting culture-war focus pursued by Donald Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Many of the most militantly conservative House Republicans represent these “lo-lo” districts—a list that includes Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia, Lauren Boebert of Colorado, Matt Gaetz of Florida, Ralph Norman of South Carolina, and Scott Perry of Pennsylvania.
“The right accuses the left of identity politics, when the analysis of this data suggests that identity politics has become the core of the Republican Party,” Pastor told me.
Yes it is true that the Republican Party is the party of the working class and the Democratic Party is the party of elitists. It's been that way since the 1850s.
Other than proving that high minority areas vote overwhelmingly Democratic, this study shows me nothing. I know what the insinuation is - only low educated racist whites vote Republican. Newsflash - a college degree isn't a indicator of anything other than you went to college.
Another interesting, data-driven article by Ron Brownstein in The Atlantic.
A study of America’s Congressional Districts finds that they are divided into 4 quadrants by race and white educational attainment.
In house districts that are below the national average for racial diversity and for white college graduates (so called LO-LO districts) the Republicans hold an overwhelming 142 to 21 lead over the Democrats.
In LO-HI districts (low minority/high white college grads): D 37 R 30
In HI-LO districts (high minority/low white college grads): D 57 R 35
In HI-HI districts (high minority/high white college grads): D 98 R 15
Being a college grad is essentially meaningless these days. Heck, even being a high school grad is becoming simply a marker of the passage of time and not recognition of knowledge acquired. Which brings me to my point: Why does every analysis of voter demographics include education level? I know why, but let's see of any liberal/Dem/progessive C-D voters are enlightened, self-aware, and courageous enough to admit it. Go.
Other than proving that high minority areas vote overwhelmingly Democratic, this study shows me nothing. I know what the insinuation is - only low educated racist whites vote Republican. Newsflash - a college degree isn't a indicator of anything other than you went to college.
I don’t think the article insinuates anything. It just documents how overwhelmingly white and non-college the core of the GOP has become. It explains to a large degree the changes in R policies from the pre-Trump days. And college attainment does have a significance politically, for whatever reason you choose to believe.
Another thing from the article; the higher the percentage of immigration, the likelier that the district is blue. That’s not just due to the immigrants themselves. There was a study a few years ago that asked pro/con questions on immigration and sorted the responses by zip code. The highest level of opposition to immigration came from the zip codes where you were least likely to have contact with an immigrant. If you have little to no contract with a group, you are more likely think of them as an alien species rather than individuals. Those types of districts are the core LO/LO’s that have become the base of the new GOP, while at the same time the percentage of white non-college voters is decreasing while minorities and white college grads are increasing their share of eligible voters. I’m not sure if that represents a demographic cul-de-sac for the GOP as Jeff Flake stated, but it’s interesting.
Last edited by Bureaucat; 03-19-2023 at 08:13 AM..
Other than proving that high minority areas vote overwhelmingly Democratic, this study shows me nothing. I know what the insinuation is - only low educated racist whites vote Republican. Newsflash - a college degree isn't a indicator of anything other than you went to college.
Some of the dumbest people when it comes to common sense went to college. Many of them are liberals.
Yes it is true that the Republican Party is the party of the working class and the Democratic Party is the party of elitists. It's been that way since the 1850s.
Another interesting, data-driven article by Ron Brownstein in The Atlantic.
A study of America’s Congressional Districts finds that they are divided into 4 quadrants by race and white educational attainment.
In house districts that are below the national average for racial diversity and for white college graduates (so called LO-LO districts) the Republicans hold an overwhelming 142 to 21 lead over the Democrats.
In LO-HI districts (low minority/high white college grads): D 37 R 30
In HI-LO districts (high minority/low white college grads): D 57 R 35
In HI-HI districts (high minority/high white college grads): D 98 R 15
The highest correlation that I see from the above stats is "the higher the minority percentage, the more likely the district votes Democrat." The "white college grads" has little to do with it.
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