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View Poll Results: When will the US default
June 2023 6 10.91%
Within next 2 years 8 14.55%
Within next 5 years 6 10.91%
Within next 10 years 4 7.27%
More than 10 years from now or never 31 56.36%
Voters: 55. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 05-21-2023, 08:34 AM
 
Location: Florida
33,571 posts, read 18,154,780 times
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It is getting worse. 2 to 5 years will be my best guess . Inflation will kill our economy with many lay offs and more printing of money . It cannot be easily fixed. Too far gone now
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Old 05-21-2023, 08:54 AM
 
4,948 posts, read 3,051,034 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SAN_Man View Post
How long before the US defaults on its debt?

Not until we lose reserve status.

With other countries forming economic alliances/buying gold, and Saudi Arabia already having abandoned U.S. dollar agreement; it won't be long. The Fed can't handle this type of inflation, as less greenbacks are being used for trade overseas; and therefore coming back home to roost.
Going back 500 years in history, the average shelf life of all of them is roughly 99 years.
Whether the government defaults is dependent on how these American idiots with the checkbooks play it out on a geopolitical scale.
And so far, they're using the wrong deck of cards; cuz' it's the same worn out deck.
Coincidentally, Russia has almost no debt; imagine that.
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Old 05-21-2023, 09:17 AM
 
Location: Port Charlotte, FL - Dallas, PA
5,172 posts, read 4,942,570 times
Reputation: 5086
My prediction: Close to 10 years from now.
At some point, the debt will reach the point of no return. Then it's not only default time, but a reorganization of the nation, not unlike a company that goes bankrupt. And part of that reorganization will be getting rid of our pesky Constitution that's in the way of their grandiose plans for us.
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Old 05-21-2023, 09:18 AM
 
Location: NMB, SC
43,080 posts, read 18,252,401 times
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How long ? Well I guess when interest payments on the debt is bigger than the revenue the FedGov takes in.
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Old 05-21-2023, 09:41 AM
 
15,841 posts, read 14,472,390 times
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Irrelevant. US government debt is denominated in dollars. The Fed can make dollars. Therefore there'll never be a need to default. However the debt payments may not be worth very much.

Quote:
Originally Posted by SAN_Man View Post
How long before the US defaults on its debt?

Not until we lose reserve status.
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Old 05-21-2023, 09:44 AM
 
4,948 posts, read 3,051,034 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BBMW View Post
Irrelevant. US government debt is denominated in dollars. The Fed can make dollars. Therefore there'll never be a need to default. However the debt payments may not be worth very much.

Turn on the printing press to pay your bills, brilliant!.
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Old 05-21-2023, 10:05 AM
 
Location: Boston
20,104 posts, read 9,011,934 times
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this is just another exercise in duping the willing.
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Old 05-21-2023, 04:11 PM
 
15,592 posts, read 15,665,527 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cida View Post
As to how long before we default...

It depends on how long, and how often, Republicans want to keep playing these "games" of brinksmanship. I think it was mostly started by Newt Gingrich. If Republicans keep supporting their elected officials who do this, it'll keep happening. Last I heard, Republicans still hadn't submitted a budget.
Quote:
Originally Posted by mirage98de View Post
So if the Republican Party vaporized tomorrow and the population was 100% democrat, we could keep pumping the debt up trillions and trillions (quadrillions??) until the end of time and never default?
No, but if the GOP gave up its stubborn grand-standing goal to simply fight Democrats at every turn, regardless of the issue (for instance, the secret meeting, as Obama arrived, to block everything from him, no matter what), and remembered that politics is a matter of compromise, they might realize that keeping us perpetually teetering on the edge of a cliff isn't a great idea.
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Old 05-21-2023, 05:22 PM
 
Location: Free State of Florida
25,729 posts, read 12,800,389 times
Reputation: 19290
https://www.oann.com/newsroom/biden-...s-republicans/

I don't know, but it might be a good thing to defaul sooner rather than later. The faster we reach rock bottom, the faster we can recover.
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Old 05-21-2023, 06:33 PM
 
30,153 posts, read 11,783,240 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mirage98de View Post
“After all the government's borrowing needs are accounted for, debt held by the public rises from $24.3 trillion at the end of 2022 to $46.4 trillion at the end of 2033 in CBO's baseline projections”

Straight from the horses mouth:
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/5894...0Table%201%2D3).

And that is assuming we don't have another "crisis" that costs trillions more to fight?
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