Quote:
Originally Posted by TomDot
Exactly!
People used future gains as leverage in both instances.
It's the equivalent of betting on a horse that you believe is a sure shot winner. Then turning around and borrowing money using those expected winnings as collateral and betting on more horses.
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Well, there's really a little more to it than that. But it is how the little guy got caught up in it... and the big guys who's businesses depended on consumer spending.
So let's look at a few points:
1) Mortgage credit loosened up... at whose hands and why?
2) Then mortgage securities where bundled (securitized) by who or what?
3) Those mortgage securities were rated AAA by someone or something?
4) Those mortgage securities where then sold as great, fixed income investments... (Rated AAA remember)...
5) Then AIG "insured" those securities with Credit Default Swaps (CDS's) while believing the AAA rating... *without sufficient funds to cover those defaults*... (They made a bet they wouldn't have to pay.
6) The Bankers bought the CDS's... thus believing they were "covered".
Looking back on it there's really just a few questions we need to answer to assign blame:
1) Who or what decided to loosen up credit? Why?
2) How was it that the securitized mortgages were rated wrongly as AAA? Who's at fault for that?
3) How was AIG allowed to insure more than it could ever pay back?
That little people spent on paper real estate gains is understandable. We've been trained to believe (except perhaps in California) that real estate doesn't go down... "They ain't makin' any more"... right? So lots of little people finally felt they where getting thier piece of the pie.
However, what is not understandable is how the entire mortgage industry, rating industry and insurance industry didn't realize the hole they were digging as *they* were supposed to be the experts.
So the big question is... "How did these supposed experts dig this hole?"
Or perhaps, what led to an environment where they could.
Essentially there was some sort of perfect storm or comedy of errors here that now has the wonderful side effect that the little folks are going to pay for it all anyway...
Funny, when little people were paying *way* to much for houses... no one cared... when the devalued (from peak) assets ended up as Wall Street getting screwed... Oh *NOW* we have a crisis...
I know I didn't buy a home the whole time this was going on because the prices were *way* out of line with my salary... Now I'm likely to end up living in my car before it's over. And, I didn't have a dime in the game...
Thanks all you Wall Street Rocket Scientists.