Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 05-13-2009, 02:46 PM
 
19,198 posts, read 31,473,857 times
Reputation: 4013

Advertisements

Sheesh! These are projections, not predictions. They depend heavily on small differences in the baseline and on variations in the early time-period data. The projections included in the President's budget outline sent to Congress in February were done in December. The CBO numbers that the WSJ seems to refer to were done at the end of March. The administration's recent full budget projections would have been done in April. And people are surprised that the differences between the respective budget numbers and the March CBO numbers got smaller??? How dumb ARE people really...
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 05-13-2009, 02:48 PM
 
5,165 posts, read 6,052,273 times
Reputation: 1072
Quote:
Originally Posted by saganista View Post
Sheesh! These are projections, not predictions. They depend heavily on small differences in the baseline and on variations in the early time-period data. The projections included in the President's budget outline sent to Congress in February were done in December. The CBO numbers that the WSJ seems to refer to were done at the end of March. The administration's recent full budget projections would have been done in April. And people are surprised that the differences between the respective budget numbers and the March CBO numbers got smaller??? How dumb ARE people really...
It does not interest you why the numbers almost always turn out worse then predicted?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-13-2009, 02:58 PM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
9,059 posts, read 12,970,206 times
Reputation: 1401
Quote:
Originally Posted by cleanhouse View Post
It does not interest you why the numbers almost always turn out worse then predicted?
There's always a purty well written five page document written by some nameless bureaucrat that explains it away...plus talking heads to remind YOU how dumb you are for even asking such a question.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-13-2009, 03:06 PM
 
19,198 posts, read 31,473,857 times
Reputation: 4013
Quote:
Originally Posted by cleanhouse View Post
It does not interest you why the numbers almost always turn out worse then predicted?
Not predicted, projected. And no, given economic developments between December and April, it would not be a surprise at all to see anybody's projections worsen. As an example of the flip-side of the coin, public debt when Bill Clinton left office was $3 trillion less than had been projected when he was inaugurated. That's what better than average performance can do for you...
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-13-2009, 03:06 PM
 
157 posts, read 180,518 times
Reputation: 40
Quote:
Originally Posted by saganista View Post
Sheesh! These are projections, not predictions. They depend heavily on small differences in the baseline and on variations in the early time-period data. The projections included in the President's budget outline sent to Congress in February were done in December. The CBO numbers that the WSJ seems to refer to were done at the end of March. The administration's recent full budget projections would have been done in April. And people are surprised that the differences between the respective budget numbers and the March CBO numbers got smaller??? How dumb ARE people really...
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/99xx/doc9..._Testimony.pdf

January 9, 2009
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-13-2009, 03:07 PM
 
Location: Michigan
5,376 posts, read 5,345,971 times
Reputation: 1633
Quote:
Originally Posted by cleanhouse View Post
Lawyers always did make great Financial Analysts
That why the CBO examines the numbers........
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-13-2009, 03:09 PM
 
19,198 posts, read 31,473,857 times
Reputation: 4013
Quote:
Originally Posted by ViewFromThePeak View Post
There's always a purty well written five page document written by some nameless bureaucrat that explains it away...plus talking heads to remind YOU how dumb you are for even asking such a question.
Well, look at the levels of understanding that many of these right-wing windbags presume to be enough to warrant them mouthing off. Guess they've never heard that when you don't know what you are talking about, sometimes it's best just to sit back and listen...
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-13-2009, 03:16 PM
 
19,198 posts, read 31,473,857 times
Reputation: 4013
Quote:
Originally Posted by KrissyK View Post
Was there a point? Those are the last CBO numbers from the previous administration. What they document is the depth of the deficits that the new administration had handed to it by the old one.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-13-2009, 03:17 PM
 
Location: southern california
61,288 posts, read 87,413,299 times
Reputation: 55562
ring around the rosie
pocket full of posies
ashes ashes all fall down
get ready
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 01:38 PM.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top