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This doesn't look good for the Republicans. A few months ago they were set to run the tables, but Dems have done the worst of what they're going to do and people still favor them while Obama's approval rating hasn't dropped below the 50% range. No doubt Republicans will pick up seats if history is any indication, but perhaps nothing like they thought they would.
If you'll notice, this polls is not even on the list for generic ballot...because it is not a poll about that.
In 1994, the dems held a 5 point generic ballot lead.
In 2008 & 2009, the dems held a double digit lead.
Scroll down the link and feast your eyes.
Just using your link as reference, the fact that there's even mixed polling at this point with some showing Dems and others Reps should be very disconcerting to conservatives. We've heard all along that the American people learned from their "mistake vote" and are now ready to fix it with the party that ran the country under Bush.
I'm just not sure it's going to be the trounsing people like yourself presume it will be.
This doesn't look good for the Republicans. A few months ago they were set to run the tables, but Dems have done the worst of what they're going to do and people still favor them while Obama's approval rating hasn't dropped below the 50% range. No doubt Republicans will pick up seats if history is any indication, but perhaps nothing like they thought they would.
Oh my goodness. You do realize this "question" in the poll was NOT a generic ballot question?
Please, scroll down and see just how much has changed in a short year. The dems had a double digit lead in the generic ballot not too long ago.
One poll, not even about the generic ballot, and that doesn't look good for the GOP?
I smell desperation.
Oh, do scroll ALL THE WAY down to around March of last year.
Take a gander, if you dare, of the generic ballot in 2008.
The fact remains, the dems have ALWAYS led in the generic ballot historically, even in 1994, when the were shellacked.
Yeah. I scrolled down. It's pretty logical that the party that has complete power would have a backlash. That's what always happens historically.
Still, the fact that Dems are still favored in any polls, Obama's still holding strong, and Reps aren't running away at this point should be very disconcerting for conservatives everywhere. They'll obviously gain, but perhaps not as much as they could.
Yeah. I scrolled down. It's pretty logical that the party that has complete power would have a backlash. That's what always happens historically.
Still, the fact that Dems are still favored in any polls, Obama's still holding strong, and Reps aren't running away at this point should be very disconcerting for conservatives everywhere. They'll obviously gain, but perhaps not as much as they could.
No, it doesn't ALWAYS happen. Didn't happen in 2002 and 2004.
You really need to brush up on historical trends in the generic ballot - even with a 5 point advantage going into the 1994 election, the dems were shellacked.
To have the GOP tied or ahead at this point is amazing - it really never happens.
"People want democrats to control congress after this fall's elections:
45% to 40% prefer for a democratic congress reverses the finding a month ago on the same question: 44% for republicans and 41% for democrats.
But the margin is thin and there's a flashing yellow light for incumbents of both parties: Only 36% of respondents said they want their own member of Congress to win re-election this fall".
Poll shows a shift: Keep Dems in charge | freep.com | Detroit Free Press (http://www.freep.com/article/20100516/NEWS15/5160463/1285/news15/Poll-shows-a-shift-Keep-Dems-in-charge - broken link)
New day, new poll, new result.
Tomorrow might be different too.
I would say that Harley Smithson is an easily swayed weak Republican.
Rasmussen will release a Poll tomorrow saying 186% prefer Republicans
They will surely show one poll that shows Obama under 50% but he has been that way on theirs for months.
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