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Old 05-16-2010, 02:31 PM
 
11,155 posts, read 15,655,590 times
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This doesn't look good for the Republicans. A few months ago they were set to run the tables, but Dems have done the worst of what they're going to do and people still favor them while Obama's approval rating hasn't dropped below the 50% range. No doubt Republicans will pick up seats if history is any indication, but perhaps nothing like they thought they would.
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Old 05-16-2010, 02:45 PM
 
31,387 posts, read 36,910,828 times
Reputation: 15038
You responded to:

The Repubs have shown "NO" inclination to want to do anything, directed at help the American people.

by writing:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Quick Enough View Post
I guess you don't remeber the dem dd the eact same thing when they were in the mnority.

That is what the minority party does. Always has, always will.
Now remind me when the Republicans wanted to do anything to help the American people?
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Old 05-16-2010, 03:02 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,796,546 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
"People want democrats to control congress after this fall's elections:
Not quite.

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - Generic Congressional Vote

If you'll notice, this polls is not even on the list for generic ballot...because it is not a poll about that.

In 1994, the dems held a 5 point generic ballot lead.

In 2008 & 2009, the dems held a double digit lead.

Scroll down the link and feast your eyes.
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Old 05-16-2010, 03:04 PM
 
Location: Sierra Vista, AZ
17,531 posts, read 24,601,871 times
Reputation: 9975
Rasmussen will release a Poll tomorrow saying 186% prefer Republicans
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Old 05-16-2010, 03:14 PM
 
11,155 posts, read 15,655,590 times
Reputation: 4209
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
Not quite.

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - Generic Congressional Vote

If you'll notice, this polls is not even on the list for generic ballot...because it is not a poll about that.

In 1994, the dems held a 5 point generic ballot lead.

In 2008 & 2009, the dems held a double digit lead.

Scroll down the link and feast your eyes.
Just using your link as reference, the fact that there's even mixed polling at this point with some showing Dems and others Reps should be very disconcerting to conservatives. We've heard all along that the American people learned from their "mistake vote" and are now ready to fix it with the party that ran the country under Bush.

I'm just not sure it's going to be the trounsing people like yourself presume it will be.
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Old 05-16-2010, 04:46 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,796,546 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluefly View Post
This doesn't look good for the Republicans. A few months ago they were set to run the tables, but Dems have done the worst of what they're going to do and people still favor them while Obama's approval rating hasn't dropped below the 50% range. No doubt Republicans will pick up seats if history is any indication, but perhaps nothing like they thought they would.
Oh my goodness. You do realize this "question" in the poll was NOT a generic ballot question?

Here you go;

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - Generic Congressional Vote

Please, scroll down and see just how much has changed in a short year. The dems had a double digit lead in the generic ballot not too long ago.

One poll, not even about the generic ballot, and that doesn't look good for the GOP?

I smell desperation.

Oh, do scroll ALL THE WAY down to around March of last year.

Take a gander, if you dare, of the generic ballot in 2008.

The fact remains, the dems have ALWAYS led in the generic ballot historically, even in 1994, when the were shellacked.
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Old 05-16-2010, 08:32 PM
 
11,155 posts, read 15,655,590 times
Reputation: 4209
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
Oh my goodness. You do realize this "question" in the poll was NOT a generic ballot question?

Here you go;

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - Generic Congressional Vote

Please, scroll down and see just how much has changed in a short year. The dems had a double digit lead in the generic ballot not too long ago.

One poll, not even about the generic ballot, and that doesn't look good for the GOP?

I smell desperation.

Oh, do scroll ALL THE WAY down to around March of last year.

Take a gander, if you dare, of the generic ballot in 2008.

The fact remains, the dems have ALWAYS led in the generic ballot historically, even in 1994, when the were shellacked.
Yeah. I scrolled down. It's pretty logical that the party that has complete power would have a backlash. That's what always happens historically.

Still, the fact that Dems are still favored in any polls, Obama's still holding strong, and Reps aren't running away at this point should be very disconcerting for conservatives everywhere. They'll obviously gain, but perhaps not as much as they could.
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Old 05-16-2010, 08:37 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,796,546 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluefly View Post
Yeah. I scrolled down. It's pretty logical that the party that has complete power would have a backlash. That's what always happens historically.

Still, the fact that Dems are still favored in any polls, Obama's still holding strong, and Reps aren't running away at this point should be very disconcerting for conservatives everywhere. They'll obviously gain, but perhaps not as much as they could.
No, it doesn't ALWAYS happen. Didn't happen in 2002 and 2004.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2002/

GOP won Senate, held House.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/

Wrong, once again.

You really need to brush up on historical trends in the generic ballot - even with a 5 point advantage going into the 1994 election, the dems were shellacked.

To have the GOP tied or ahead at this point is amazing - it really never happens.
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Old 05-16-2010, 09:22 PM
 
Location: Southcentral Kansas
44,882 posts, read 33,137,160 times
Reputation: 4269
Quote:
Originally Posted by plannine View Post
"People want democrats to control congress after this fall's elections:
45% to 40% prefer for a democratic congress reverses the finding a month ago on the same question: 44% for republicans and 41% for democrats.

But the margin is thin and there's a flashing yellow light for incumbents of both parties: Only 36% of respondents said they want their own member of Congress to win re-election this fall".

Poll shows a shift: Keep Dems in charge | freep.com | Detroit Free Press (http://www.freep.com/article/20100516/NEWS15/5160463/1285/news15/Poll-shows-a-shift-Keep-Dems-in-charge - broken link)


New day, new poll, new result.
Tomorrow might be different too.
I would say that Harley Smithson is an easily swayed weak Republican.
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Old 05-16-2010, 09:29 PM
 
Location: Southcentral Kansas
44,882 posts, read 33,137,160 times
Reputation: 4269
Quote:
Originally Posted by Boompa View Post
Rasmussen will release a Poll tomorrow saying 186% prefer Republicans
They will surely show one poll that shows Obama under 50% but he has been that way on theirs for months.
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