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"People want democrats to control congress after this fall's elections:
45% to 40% prefer for a democratic congress reverses the finding a month ago on the same question: 44% for republicans and 41% for democrats.
But the margin is thin and there's a flashing yellow light for incumbents of both parties: Only 36% of respondents said they want their own member of Congress to win re-election this fall".
Poll shows a shift: Keep Dems in charge | freep.com | Detroit Free Press (http://www.freep.com/article/20100516/NEWS15/5160463/1285/news15/Poll-shows-a-shift-Keep-Dems-in-charge - broken link)
New day, new poll, new result.
Tomorrow might be different too.
Local primaries proved just the opposite. Incumbents didn't lose anymore seats than previously & many incumbents won by wide margins.
"People want democrats to control congress after this fall's elections:
45% to 40% prefer for a democratic congress reverses the finding a month ago on the same question: 44% for republicans and 41% for democrats.
But the margin is thin and there's a flashing yellow light for incumbents of both parties: Only 36% of respondents said they want their own member of Congress to win re-election this fall".
Poll shows a shift: Keep Dems in charge | freep.com | Detroit Free Press (http://www.freep.com/article/20100516/NEWS15/5160463/1285/news15/Poll-shows-a-shift-Keep-Dems-in-charge - broken link)
New day, new poll, new result.
Tomorrow might be different too.
I thought you might like to see the results of the latest Rasmussen poll about Obama. Now remember that this is not the Dems but their leader we are talking about.
Overall, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) disapprove. The Rasmussen Reports Media Meter shows that media coverage of the President has been 55% positive over the past week.
I thought you might like to see the results of the latest Rasmussen poll about Obama. Now remember that this is not the Dems but their leader we are talking about.
Overall, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) disapprove. The Rasmussen Reports Media Meter shows that media coverage of the President has been 55% positive over the past week.
Even those feelthy people at Rasmussen released these numbers about Dems and Republicans today.
Given the usual Democratic advantages in party identification among the general public, it is rare for Republicans to lead on the generic ballot among registered voters. This was the case even when Republicans were the majority congressional party from the mid-1990s to the mid-2000s.
Quote:
Turnout proved to be pivotal in 2002 as the Democrats' five-point lead among registered voters turned into a six-point deficit once likely voter preferences were measured (the actual vote on Election Day showed a five-point Republican advantage).
Now, if THIS doesn't send a cold chill down the spine of democrats, I don't know what will.
Keeping the dems around 45% would be wonderful, but it's a long way til Nov and anything could happen.
You really need to brush up on historical trends in the generic ballot - even with a 5 point advantage going into the 1994 election, the dems were shellacked.
To have the GOP tied or ahead at this point is amazing - it really never happens.
I never said it always happens, but the period you cite was unique. Keep in mind that we were coming off 9/11 so there was a strong recoil from progress as a nation as we recovered from that, so we logically turned conservative.
Then, soon after the Republican control of all 3 branches drove our nation off a cliff economically, socially, and militarily, so we had a referendum election to kick them out of power.
Time and time again after a referendum election the opposite party comes back to pick up a lot of seats. It's a very consistent trend.
Politics as usual. You should be worried Republicans don't have more momentum at this point.
I never said it always happens, but the period you cite was unique. Keep in mind that we were coming off 9/11 so there was a strong recoil from progress as a nation as we recovered from that, so we logically turned conservative.
Yes you did, here it is;
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluefly View Post
Yeah. I scrolled down. It's pretty logical that the party that has complete power would have a backlash. That's what always happens historically.
Quote:
Time and time again after a referendum election the opposite party comes back to pick up a lot of seats. It's a very consistent trend.
Oh please, do give me some links that proves this assertion. If it's so consistent, I'm sure it will be easy to prove.
Start in 1994.
Oh, let me. 1994 was a huge referendum election. Once again, you are wrong. Gosh, are you ever right about anything?
You should be worried Republicans don't have more momentum at this point.
Don't want them peaking too early and the voters WILL BE reminded of just how much obama has driven the economy off the cliff with his spending, at least $1 trillion down the drain. They will also be reminded of the "process" by which obamacare was passed, legislation that the public is opposed to, even more so after it was signed and all the little "surprises" started coming out.
Last edited by sanrene; 05-16-2010 at 10:11 PM..
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