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Next 3 weeks will likely sort things out in the NFC playoff picture as the 6 teams currently "in" will all face the most difficult part of their schedule while (with the exception of Atlanta) having to do so mostly on the road. Atlanta has 3 straight home games during their stretch, Minnesota has 3 straight road games.
(opp win pctg)
PHL (.533) vs Chi (H), Sea (A), LAR (A)
MIN (.633) vs Det (A), Atl (A), Car (A)
N.O. (.667) vs LAR (A), Car (H), Atl (A)
LAR (.700) vs N.O. (H), Arz (A), Phl (H)
Car (.667) vs NYJ (A), N.O. (A), Min (H) --- only team among these 10 that has a winning record (3-2) against >.500 teams.
ATL (.667) vs TB (H), Min (H), N.O. (H)
Meanwhile, the next two teams; Detroit & Seattle also have to face teams with an overall winning record (.566), while playing 2 of 3 games on the road. Detroit is 1-4 against >.500 teams, Seattle is 1-2 against >.500 teams.
after those two, the two 5-5 teams (Green Bay and Dallas) will have a chance to make a move, but only if they can find a way to play better than they have of late.
Green Bay (.400), 1-4 vs >.500 teams
Dallas (.333), 1-3 vs >.500 teams
I doubt that we will see much of a turnover in who gets in in the NFC from here on out.
If I recall, Detroit has an easy schedule down the stretch and in fact, if they beat Minnesota Thursday, the Lions will be one back and will have swept the Vikings. That division is still very much up for grabs, for now. I do not take much stock into opponents winning %.
One game vs Cleveland is still just one likely win and skews the data. Same as if you have to play Philly, it's still just one potential loss. More over if Rodgers were to come back in December, which Packers team are you facing?
On another note, I am amazed Atlanta is 6-4. I guess because they were 3-1 early on despite being extremely fortunate not to be 1-3. They just never have seemed right except the night they opened the new stadium. I expect both the Falcons and Seattle to be on the outside when the dust settles. Neither are very good, and unlike Detroit, I project many more losses still to come, based on analyzing remaining games qualitatively.
He wants to come back but would be very dumb on Packers part in my opinion. What would be the point? Their chances of getting a WC spot, are slim and none.
The point had less to do with Aaron Rodgers and more to do with timing of games, hence remaining scheduled teams' cumulative records are rather irrelevant. Teams might be better than their record indicates due to less key injuries than in September, or perhaps they flat out are just playing better or worse football than at another juncture of the season. I would argue, although of course it's speculative and injuries will continue to occur each week, playing the Chargers despite two less wins than Seattle or Atlanta, is more daunting.
Meanwhile, the next two teams; Detroit & Seattle also have to face teams with an overall winning record (.566), while playing 2 of 3 games on the road. Detroit is 1-4 against >.500 teams, Seattle is 1-2 against >.500 teams.
after those two, the two 5-5 teams (Green Bay and Dallas) will have a chance to make a move, but only if they can find a way to play better than they have of late.
Green Bay (.400), 1-4 vs >.500 teams
Dallas (.333), 1-3 vs >.500 teams
I doubt that we will see much of a turnover in who gets in in the NFC from here on out.
green bays winning percentage against .500 teams is .250, not .400. simple error though, not a big deal.
and green bay and dallas do need to step up their game play if they want to make the playoffs, but they need help at this point since neither one controls their own destiny. i wont count either team out of the playoffs just yet, but right now they have two chances, slim and none, and slim is packing for a long road trip at this point.
green bays winning percentage against .500 teams is .250, not .400. simple error though, not a big deal.
and green bay and dallas do need to step up their game play if they want to make the playoffs, but they need help at this point since neither one controls their own destiny. i wont count either team out of the playoffs just yet, but right now they have two chances, slim and none, and slim is packing for a long road trip at this point.
the parenthesis is their opponents' pctg over the next 3 games not GB's pctg against winning teams (which would actually be .200... no big deal )...I probably could have made that clearer
There are 46 different scenarios which would involve the Browns making the playoffs. Browns at Bengals this Sunday at 1 pm. Nantz and Romo should be assigned to this all important affair.
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)...I probably could have made that clearer