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I'll tell you what looks bad. People cherry picking crime statistics to put down other cities. Each town / city in the Triangle has it struggles with crime. If you are a WRAL junkie I guess you might get paranoid after a while and start thinking entire cities are "unsafe". However, as somebody who lives in the real world with experiences beyond 15 second sound bites from the 6 o'clock news, I sometimes have to sit back and wonder in amazement at the ignorant stuff I see posted on this forum.
I'll tell you what looks bad. People cherry picking crime statistics to put down other cities. Each town / city in the Triangle has it struggles with crime. If you are a WRAL junkie I guess you might get paranoid after a while and start thinking entire cities are "unsafe". However, as somebody who lives in the real world with experiences beyond 15 second sound bites from the 6 o'clock news, I sometimes have to sit back and wonder in amazement at the ignorant stuff I see posted on this forum.
Well you don't like WRAL. Let's try the Hearald Sun. Hmm seems this is the 14th attack this year so far.
I don't think it's over-sensitivity...anybody is going to get frustrated if they hear a mistruth/mischaracterization over and over again, and want to set things straight. And it's especially maddening when a person is repeating what they've "heard" and they've never set foot in the city. I remember a girl telling me that Durham was "just like Baltimore", but she'd never even BEEN to Durham.
Quote:
Originally Posted by peperoberto
I'd put $5 on her not having been to Baltimore either.
I had the same thought, but you beat me to it Peperobereto!
Last estimate I saw was around 140,000 users of the trail in Durham County every year (about 400 users a day which I think is a huge under-count, but it's an estimate). 14 total reported crimes for ~134,000 users (adjusting for the 2 weeks still left in the year) leads us to a crime rate of 1.04 per 10,000 users.
So, becoming the victim of a crime on the American Tobacco Trail literally a 1-in-10,000 probability event. Or roughly 7.5 times lower than your chance of being the victim of a violent crime in Cary during the course of one year.
(note to statistician's- I know I'm comparing apples to oranges here, but it's for demonstrative purposes so I'm going to go ahead and do it.)
I don't see your point. Your post isn't any more statistically significant than somebody from Durham bashing Raleigh about the disgusting incident a few weeks ago when several Raleigh teens allegedly murdered a homless man.
Last estimate I saw was around 140,000 users of the trail in Durham County every year (about 400 users a day which I think is a huge under-count, but it's an estimate). 14 total reported crimes for ~134,000 users (adjusting for the 2 weeks still left in the year) leads us to a crime rate of 1.04 per 10,000 users.
So, becoming the victim of a crime on the American Tobacco Trail literally a 1-in-10,000 probability event. Or roughly 7.5 times lower than your chance of being the victim of a violent crime in Cary during the course of one year.
(note to statistician's- I know I'm comparing apples to oranges here, but it's for demonstrative purposes so I'm going to go ahead and do it.)
All I'm saying -- and remember that I don't live in the area, so have no "dog" in this fight -- is that the Tobacco Trail may or may not be representative of Durham as a whole, and that basing one's perceptions of crime on that alone is kinda silly.
Just MHO, of course.
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