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Old 11-12-2023, 06:14 PM
 
Location: USA
508 posts, read 526,921 times
Reputation: 139

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How do we find home price drop opportunity in this higher rate environment?
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Thanks for your replies to my threads. This property is located in Maryland. I find some interesting insights provided in this forum, so I am opening my thread.


We are hearing in media saying that housing market is crashing/downtrend etc.


As you know mortgage rare close to 8% and I see price drop in posted listing.



How long will this trend continue ?

What are the areas show wide price drops ?




Are there any web sites to use for this purpose ?




Thanks for your guidance.
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Old 11-12-2023, 07:16 PM
 
Location: Berkeley Neighborhood, Denver, CO USA
17,708 posts, read 29,804,344 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GNCamry99 View Post
How do we find home price drop opportunity in this higher rate environment?

We are hearing in media saying that housing market is crashing/downtrend etc.
And you believe this?
Do you have supporting data?
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Old 11-13-2023, 07:56 AM
 
Location: East of Seattle since 1992, 615' Elevation, Zone 8b - originally from SF Bay Area
44,550 posts, read 81,117,303 times
Reputation: 57750
As always, real estate trends depend on the location. Here in Sammamish WA (east of Seattle) prices are still going up, and homes are selling in a week or two. Our median price is currently at $1.5 million, while just 50 miles away or less in other cities like Arlington, Monroe Gig Harbor or Puyallup the prices are dropping and prices are averaging just $500k-800k.
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Old 11-13-2023, 08:10 AM
 
13,131 posts, read 20,976,546 times
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What you may be seeing is homes being listed far above what any reasonable price offer should be. So, a $500,000 home that may sell for $600,000 in a hot market, is listed for $999,000. Over the weeks it's reduced a couple of times to $600,000 and ends up with multiple offers and sells for $650,000. Does that mean the market has dropped 35% in that area?
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Old 11-13-2023, 08:53 AM
 
Location: Sarasota/ Bradenton - University Pkwy area
4,613 posts, read 7,532,666 times
Reputation: 6026
The "experts" are predicting the Federal Reserve will start LOWERING rates in 2024, starting in March.

I read where they said a 1 percent drop in Fed rates equates to a 5 - 10 percent increase in home sales. The Fed is not expected to drop rates a full percentage, but even a small drop will motivate buyers to start looking again in hopes of further rate drops.
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Old 11-13-2023, 10:18 AM
 
Location: Bergen County, NJ
4,027 posts, read 3,633,251 times
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My understanding in the NYC metro area is that commercial real estate and multi-family homes are dropping in price. Single family still holding steady. I’m by no means an expert on this but I follow some CRE guys on Twitter and that’s what they’ve been saying as of late.
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Old 11-14-2023, 04:18 PM
 
10,438 posts, read 6,969,439 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HudsonCoNJ View Post
My understanding in the NYC metro area is that commercial real estate and multi-family homes are dropping in price. Single family still holding steady. I’m by no means an expert on this but I follow some CRE guys on Twitter and that’s what they’ve been saying as of late.
SFH will stay hot at least on the North Jersey of the NYC Metro as there aren't enough. Seems like they are building $1M townhomes all over the place. Who all these people snatching up $1M townhomes is beyond me.
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Old 11-14-2023, 04:27 PM
 
106,608 posts, read 108,757,383 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sunshine Rules View Post
The "experts" are predicting the Federal Reserve will start LOWERING rates in 2024, starting in March.

I read where they said a 1 percent drop in Fed rates equates to a 5 - 10 percent increase in home sales. The Fed is not expected to drop rates a full percentage, but even a small drop will motivate buyers to start looking again in hopes of further rate drops.
the problem is fixed rate mortgages are set by investors not the fed …..they are based on bonds not the fed funds rate or discount rate

investors don’t follow the fed when they disagree , which is why short term rates are higher then long term rates now
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Old 11-15-2023, 02:26 PM
 
Location: Salem, OR
15,574 posts, read 40,417,480 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107 View Post
the problem is fixed rate mortgages are set by investors not the fed …..they are based on bonds not the fed funds rate or discount rate

investors don’t follow the fed when they disagree , which is why short term rates are higher then long term rates now
Which is why rates have already dropped. At the end of the day investors want to make money. They will drop the rates to get people originating loans again. It is why there are the 3/2/1 and 2/1 buydowns right now.

I have attended so, so many webinars this year and the general consensus seems to project that consumer interest rates will be in the 6.5-7.5% range in 2024.
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Old 11-17-2023, 04:35 PM
 
3,184 posts, read 1,659,838 times
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Buy somewhere cheap. Why must everyone buy a macmansion in a well to do area.
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