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Old 01-24-2010, 08:23 AM
 
Location: Mokelumne Hill, CA & El Pescadero, BCS MX.
6,957 posts, read 22,309,298 times
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Thank god you've resurrected this thread. I was beginning to worry that all the crystal ball juice had evaporated.
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Old 01-24-2010, 01:52 PM
 
Location: Salem, OR
15,577 posts, read 40,430,010 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 73-79 ford fan View Post
Housing prices will bottom out in 2033, I know this is a old thread but this is a long term down turn. There will be a secondary peak around 2011 or 2012 before the next long term leg down.
2033???

Is that a typo or are you really predicting a 23 year downturn?
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Old 01-24-2010, 03:32 PM
 
3,283 posts, read 5,207,186 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Silverfall View Post
2033???

Is that a typo or are you really predicting a 23 year downturn?

perhaps we might never go back to the same place. make no mistake, the good times will be back but they will be very different. i think values, perspectives and success will change radically as people realise that the track we've been on was not all that.
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Old 01-24-2010, 04:32 PM
 
Location: Humboldt Park, Chicago
2,686 posts, read 7,870,982 times
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Default 2 years later

I am sticking by my predictions for Florida though I may have been too optimistic for Chicago. He have not yet bottomed and it may be 2011 or 2012 before we see a bottom that may last a few years. Prices in Chicago in 2013 will most likely be lower than they were in 2008.

For Florida, the picture is even worse with tons of inventory still out there, particularly condos in south Florida. It will be 2020 before they see 2008 prices again.
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Old 01-24-2010, 07:29 PM
 
Location: Salem, OR
15,577 posts, read 40,430,010 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 58robbo View Post
perhaps we might never go back to the same place. make no mistake, the good times will be back but they will be very different. i think values, perspectives and success will change radically as people realise that the track we've been on was not all that.

Home prices will get back there eventually just due to inflation. I don't think housing will continue to lose value though for the next 23 years. At some point it will stop and normal inflation will kick in.

I don't define recovery as getting back to 2006 home prices. I define recovery as getting back to normal housing appreciation.
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Old 01-24-2010, 07:50 PM
 
1,087 posts, read 1,947,309 times
Reputation: 1316
Quote:
Originally Posted by Silverfall View Post
Home prices will get back there eventually just due to inflation. I don't think housing will continue to lose value though for the next 23 years. At some point it will stop and normal inflation will kick in.

I don't define recovery as getting back to 2006 home prices. I define recovery as getting back to normal housing appreciation.
I agree, homes will not continue to lose significant value but will fluctuate proportionately with employment/job growth, thus eventually stabilizing, real estate will begin to appreciate once more accordingly and the cycle repeats itself. I won't try to predict the timeline.

Last edited by chaotix; 01-24-2010 at 08:12 PM..
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Old 01-25-2010, 02:01 PM
 
3,283 posts, read 5,207,186 times
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It would be interesting to get an idea what people believe will be the next driver for jobs.
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Old 01-25-2010, 02:05 PM
 
20,187 posts, read 23,852,928 times
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That is high on the optimistic side... I don't think I have seen 20-30% gains in two years time before when the average is much, MUCH less... the housing price corrected to its true value (and its not even there yet but its close!) and now this guy is going to think there will be a second housing boom? Hahahah... that's so funny... maybe a hurricane or two will get him closer to reality...
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Old 01-25-2010, 02:12 PM
 
Location: The Jar
20,048 posts, read 18,305,849 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DMenscha View Post
Thank god you've resurrected this thread. I was beginning to worry that all the crystal ball juice had evaporated.
Hahahahaha!
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Old 03-24-2010, 01:34 AM
 
Location: The High Seas
7,372 posts, read 16,014,058 times
Reputation: 11867
I'm curious about the housing market in FL and was wondering why it looks like everyone just ran out of town from places such as Cape Coral, while the market in places like Marco Island look a lot healthier.
The crime stats for Cape Coral are very good; better in Marco Island, but what's the story? Why the huge price differential?
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