Quote:
Originally Posted by GeoffD
I question your math since I have similar numbers and have worked through this. The maximum possible check at FRA is $32,748.
.... You'd have to live to age 100 to break even collecting at FRA if you calculate accounting for inflation.
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I played with SS contributions & benefits numbers and found that even for a worker who had contributed the maximum SS tax every year in the last 35 years to collect the max SS 2015 benefit of $2,663/month or $31,956/year, he or she still comes out ahead after collecting SS for say 20 years.
Here is the summary:
1. Actual total max SS contributions (1980 to 2015): $310,0764
2. Inflation adjusted max SS contributions (calculated to 2015 value):
$437,051
3. Total max SS benefits (20 years assuming 85 years longevity):
$639,120
4. Max Spousal benefit 50% for 20 years $319,560
5. Total max SS benefit received
$958,680
I don't think it is correct to include employer's contribution. I very much doubt that the worker will receive directly the same amount if their employer does not have to contribute to SS.
So strictly from an individual's pocket POR, even the worker who had contributed the max SS for the last 35 years still will end up receiving more than the original contribution amount.
Of course, one can argue that an individual could have invested the contributed SS amount (SS privatization!) and end up getting even more but in real life, there are winners and there are losers in investments. At the minimum, SS as of today is a guaranteed return.
Note: I used the inflation rates from this site to calculate the '2015 equivalent $' for the inflation adjusted SS contributions.
Historical Inflation Rates: 1914-2015 | US Inflation Calculator
I used the same 2015 SS benefit value for the next 20 years since SS payment is adjusted for COL (inflation).