Is It Ever Going To Rain In San Diego Again (house, yard)

[citizensadvocate]

It seems like this year we don't know when a forecast that recommends an umbrella or a raincoat will ever come true. As they seems to be all false alarms.
Hope we don't get another water cutback again or mass evacuation fire.

[TacoSoup]

Originally Posted by Encinitan

What I've always heard in defense of the argument you've made is this ... it's harder to predict the weather in San Diego and the West Coast because the storms typically move from off the ocean and onto land, and we have less observational posts at sea than we do over land. So while landlocked cities can look to populated areas where the storm has hit before them to gauge how bad it'll be when it gets to their town, we don't have that advantage.
Seems like with computer modeling it wouldn't be that much of an issue, but many years ago, I interviewed a NWS weather guy and that's what he said. Don't know if it's true, but that's what he said.

I can buy that. I honestly don’t know which is harder, I just know they’re not very accurate. I will say it’s felt like it’s gonna rain all week. It finally feels like fall.

[citizensadvocate]

I always thought west coast weather is much easier to forecast compared to east coast or Midwest where any forecast over two days is likely to end up the complete opposite of the original forecast particularly when the forecast is for a sunny day.

[Jenkay]

Originally Posted by Encinitan

What I've always heard in defense of the argument you've made is this ... it's harder to predict the weather in San Diego and the West Coast because the storms typically move from off the ocean and onto land, and we have less observational posts at sea than we do over land. So while landlocked cities can look to populated areas where the storm has hit before them to gauge how bad it'll be when it gets to their town, we don't have that advantage.
Seems like with computer modeling it wouldn't be that much of an issue, but many years ago, I interviewed a NWS weather guy and that's what he said. Don't know if it's true, but that's what he said.

I minored in meteorology, and all of this is correct

[Jenkay]

Originally Posted by moved

WU is now predicting t-storms at 7:30.

Oh man, THAT would be nice

[moved]

It's been changed to 8pm.

[moved]

Maybe 10pm now.

[cruitr]

Originally Posted by Encinitan

What I've always heard in defense of the argument you've made is this ... it's harder to predict the weather in San Diego and the West Coast because the storms typically move from off the ocean and onto land, and we have less observational posts at sea than we do over land.

I heard the same thing. But there sure are a lot of big ships off our coast. Some are US government ships. Can't they report the weather with geographic coordinates?

[1AngryTaxPayer]

Looks like this storm might be a bust at the coast.

[Jenkay]

Originally Posted by 1AngryTaxPayer

Looks like this storm might be a bust at the coast.

Well, there's a big ol' blob offshore that's moving East, so the coast will likely see *something*. The predictions have all been that we should only expect like 1/10-1/4" from this front anyway so even a little rain wouldn't technically be a bust

(Glass half full!)