Chances of 2nd big earthquake (San Diego, Riverside: tornado, live, statistics)

[Chelito23]

Originally Posted by Footballfreak

I didn't know there was even such a fault, thanks for the info. Definitely something we should keep our eyes on.

Here is an article with information about this fault...
, fault, earthquake, nasa - News - YumaSun

"They associate the big one with The San Andreas fault,” Donnellan said. “The Elsinore Fault would produce a smaller earthquake but it's closer to the populated areas and would cause more damage.”

According to Buis, the area northwest of the main rupture along the Elsinore Fault has been especially active and was the site of a magnitude 5.7 aftershock on June 14.

The large earthquake and subsequent aftershocks led scientists in the region to the discovery of a previously unknown fault near Ocotillo, Calif., after it broke the Earth's surface, which made it visible to geologists in the Yuha desert.

It has been named the Yuha Fault and is located 80 miles east of San Diego.

[NewCalifornian]

Did you know

Actually the longer the period without an earthquake, the rarer the earthquakes. Just because it has been a long time since the last strong earthquake doesn't mean we must face a much stronger earthquake in the future. On top of that, we just had a pretty strong quake.

The 7.1 quake was fairly strong. In comparison, the one in Haiti was six point something.

[BacktoBlue]

Originally Posted by NewCalifornian

Did you know

Actually the longer the period without an earthquake, the rarer the earthquakes. Just because it has been a long time since the last strong earthquake doesn't mean we must face a much stronger earthquake in the future. On top of that, we just had a pretty strong quake.

The 7.1 quake was fairly strong. In comparison, the one in Haiti was six point something.

But that Easter quake is putting strees on the other faults.

[bloom]

Originally Posted by Footballfreak

But that Easter quake is putting strees on the other faults.

run for the hills

[Fontucky]

Originally Posted by NewCalifornian

Actually the longer the period without an earthquake, the rarer the earthquakes. Just because it has been a long time since the last strong earthquake doesn't mean we must face a much stronger earthquake in the future.

Citation, please. Tectonic geologists are especially worried about the potential energy release that's been building in the Southern section of the SA Fault, which has been locked since the early 1800s.

Originally Posted by NewCalifornian

The 7.1 quake was fairly strong. In comparison, the one in Haiti was six point something.

Haiti was 7.0 Mw.

[BacktoBlue]

Originally Posted by NewCalifornian

Did you know

Actually the longer the period without an earthquake, the rarer the earthquakes. Just because it has been a long time since the last strong earthquake doesn't mean we must face a much stronger earthquake in the future. On top of that, we just had a pretty strong quake.

The 7.1 quake was fairly strong. In comparison, the one in Haiti was six point something.

The Easter quake was 7.2 not 7.1.

Have a look at these articles and then tell me we have nothing to worry about.

Earthquake experts see the "Big One" getting bigger - latimes.com

San Andreas fault capable of magnitude 8.1 earthquake over 340-mile swath of California, researchers say [Updated] | L.A. NOW | Los Angeles Times

Caltrans: 9 County Bridges May Fall In Next Big Quake - San Diego News Story - KGTV San Diego

SDSU earthquake video simulates the "Big One" - SignOnSanDiego.com


Yeah, I save all earthquake articles LOL

[Gentoo]

Originally Posted by Fontucky

Citation, please. Tectonic geologists are especially worried about the potential energy release that's been building in the Southern section of the SA Fault, which has been locked since the early 1800s.



Haiti was 7.0 Mw.

Exactly! When faults which are normally active remain dormant for long periods, everyone knows that stress is building and the resulting quake that inevitably comes releases all that built up stress.

[Chelito23]

The odd thing about the San Andreas fault (southern segment) is how it is so "overdue" for a quake. New research has suggested that this segment actually has an earthquake every 150 years on average, and it has been 300 years since the last rupture on this segment. Now I understand the intervals are approximate, so 30 years overdue, ok...but 300? Doesn't it seem like some of the San Andreas' energy might be circumventing the fault...think the Landrers Quake, Hector Mine, the 7.2 Baja Quake, etc. There have been many quakes adjacent to the SA, but not on it for this stretch. With so much emphasis put on this fault...yet it being sooo overdue, it makes me wonder if it is simply transferring it's energy to other nearby, parallel faults? Maybe we should worry less about the apocalyptic big one and more about a local 6.5 or 7 quake on a much closer fault? Does anyone have any thougts about this? It is just my speculation...

[Fontucky]

Seeing as how I'm surrounded living where I do, I don't worry about any of them. I'd go insane if I did.

As far as your circumventing theory goes, who knows? I guess we'll find out eventually.

[BacktoBlue]

Originally Posted by Chelito23

The odd thing about the San Andreas fault (southern segment) is how it is so "overdue" for a quake. New research has suggested that this segment actually has an earthquake every 150 years on average, and it has been 300 years since the last rupture on this segment. Now I understand the intervals are approximate, so 30 years overdue, ok...but 300? Doesn't it seem like some of the San Andreas' energy might be circumventing the fault...think the Landrers Quake, Hector Mine, the 7.2 Baja Quake, etc. There have been many quakes adjacent to the SA, but not on it for this stretch. With so much emphasis put on this fault...yet it being sooo overdue, it makes me wonder if it is simply transferring it's energy to other nearby, parallel faults? Maybe we should worry less about the apocalyptic big one and more about a local 6.5 or 7 quake on a much closer fault? Does anyone have any thougts about this? It is just my speculation...

I see what you are saying but I am believing what the scientists are saying cause they know more than either of us.