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Old 10-04-2017, 04:07 PM
 
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Still a ways off but this one bears watching. Right now the thinking is a cat 1 hurricane to affect the "Gulf Coast" on Sunday.

Tropical depression could hit Gulf Coast as weak Cat 1 hurricane | Miami Herald
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Old 10-04-2017, 04:27 PM
 
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I know it's no laughing matter, but I giggle hearing Category 1 with what I just went through with Irma.
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Old 10-04-2017, 07:06 PM
 
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On the 8PM update from the National Hurricane Center - their map is projecting the storm center to pass to the North and West of the Sarasota area (as a hurricane):

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN

It's all subject to change of course - as we learned from hurricane Irma. Even if it passes to the West of us we could still get stormy conditions here. But for now it's not looking too bad. I'm curious what the European model is projecting.

-------------------------------------------------------

*Note: I just checked and for now the European models are projecting likely landfall to be in the Florida panhandle:

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/tr...west-caribbean

Last edited by wondermint2; 10-04-2017 at 07:35 PM..
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Old 10-04-2017, 09:05 PM
 
Location: Sarasota/ Bradenton - University Pkwy area
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Florida or Bust.... View Post
I know it's no laughing matter, but I giggle hearing Category 1 with what I just went through with Irma.
I totally understand where you're coming from on this....
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Old 10-05-2017, 08:44 AM
 
Location: Sarasota, FL
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Not too concerned about the storm itself - agree with the above posters on a Cat1! But looks like we'll get a good 4-5 days of clouds and rain and wind and thunderstorms. Kinda stinks for any visitors coming this weekend (which happens to be our case).
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Old 10-05-2017, 08:47 AM
 
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Not too concerned about the storm itself....

HOWEVER: Waste is still in the neighborhood. Stacks and stacks of dead branches, palms, leaves, cords of wood, etc. If we get high winds it will be a HUGE problem because of all the debris that is still here.
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Old 10-05-2017, 10:12 AM
 
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Originally Posted by newtovenice View Post
Not too concerned about the storm itself....

HOWEVER: Waste is still in the neighborhood. Stacks and stacks of dead branches, palms, leaves, cords of wood, etc. If we get high winds it will be a HUGE problem because of all the debris that is still here.
I agree. I wish they would pick up all this stuff already!! I don't even see them collecting a little bit and it's been weeks now!
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Old 10-05-2017, 11:22 AM
 
Location: Fort Lauderdale, Florida
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Originally Posted by Florida or Bust.... View Post
I know it's no laughing matter, but I giggle hearing Category 1 with what I just went through with Irma.
Keep laughing. A slow moving Cat 1 will destroy everything you own.

You ever see what eight hours of sustained 75mph winds looks like?
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Old 10-05-2017, 12:22 PM
 
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Originally Posted by blueherons View Post
Keep laughing. A slow moving Cat 1 will destroy everything you own.

You ever see what eight hours of sustained 75mph winds looks like?
Did you wake up on the wrong side of the bed this morning?
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Old 10-05-2017, 01:55 PM
 
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Tropical depression 16 is now called Tropical Storm Nate - and when it gets out over the warm waters of the Gulf it's likely to intensify.

I just looked at the latest cone of uncertainty from The National Hurricane Center - and the projected path has shifted even further to the West - which is good news for us here. However I think everyone still needs to follow this closely - as I was watching a video last night from the Tampa weather guys - and they said there is a history for the month of October (where hurricanes make unexpected right turns into the Florida area). The latest example given was hurricane Charlie - and then they listed several others before Charlie - all deviated from expected path with right turn and all occurred in the month of October. Interesting.....

The thing about Irma was that at one time it was a "beast" with sustained winds over 180 mph - but by the time it hit the Sarasota area it was pretty much a dud (as far as hurricanes go). I read much of this area only experienced winds of 40 - 50 mph. And still there was a lot of problems with many people losing power for long periods of time. Supposedly FPL was doing things to prepare for situations like this - but if only 40 - 50 mph winds caused this much outages obviously they aren't really prepared for any kind of "major" hit here from a storm. If tropical storm Nate were to hit our area as a cat 1 hurricane the results would be much worse than Irma was. A cat 1 has sustained winds of 74 - 95 mph. So IMO the thinking of "relief" that a storm is "only" a cat 1 is misguided. Irma was much less than a cat 1 when it passed through here.

Last edited by wondermint2; 10-05-2017 at 02:08 PM..
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