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Old 10-15-2021, 06:20 PM
 
8,179 posts, read 4,654,186 times
Reputation: 1665

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Quote:
Originally Posted by wondermint2 View Post
The latest weekly local Covid-19 data from the FDOH. For the week of October 1 - 7:

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_pa...ata_latest.pdf

Sarasota County

Covid-19 cases = 372 (a decline of 34.39% from last week's 567 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 4.0% (a decline of 1.5% from last week's test positivity ratio of 5.5%)

Manatee County

Covid-19 cases = 487 (a decline of 36.75% from last week's 770 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 5.8% (a decline of 2% from last week's test positivity ratio of 7.8%)
The latest local weekly Covid-19 data from the FDOH for the week of October 8th - 14th:

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_pa...ata_latest.pdf

Sarasota County

Covid-19 cases = 312 (a decline of 16.1% from last week's 372 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 3.5% (a decline of 0.5% from last week's test positivity ratio of 4.0%)

Manatee County

Covid-19 cases = 332 (a decline of 31.8% from last week's 487 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 4.3% (a decline of 1.5% from last week's test positivity ratio of 5.8%)
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Old 10-17-2021, 01:16 PM
 
8,179 posts, read 4,654,186 times
Reputation: 1665
FDA committee says it’s safe for all adults who got J&J’s COVID-19 vaccine to get a booster

https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/med...ter/ar-AAPzAyB

The Food and Drug Administration should authorize a second “booster” dose of Johnson & Johnson’s COVID-19 vaccine for adults who were initially vaccinated with this vaccine, according to a group of scientists and clinicians that advises the regulator.

The FDA’s Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee voted 19-0 that allowing adults who were initially vaccinated with the J&J shot to get a booster is safe and effective. Their recommendation is based on giving a booster to those 18 years old and older at least two months after they got their first shot.

“This does look more like a two-dose vaccine,” Dr. Michael Nelson, a professor of medicine UVA Health and the UVA School of Medicine and a temporary voting member of the FDA committee.

One difference with this booster recommendation is that the group of people who would qualify for the J&J booster can get it two months after getting their first dose, compared with six months after the primary series of shots for the mRNA vaccines developed by Moderna Inc. and BioNTech SE /Pfizer Inc.

If the FDA follows the advice of the committee, which it is not required to do but often does, it means that all three COVID-19 vaccines that are available in the U.S. have authorized boosters, with the caveat that there are restrictions in place on who can get a mRNA booster.

The mRNA boosters are reserved at this time for people older than 65 years old, adults who are at high risk of severe disease, and those who face higher exposure to the virus because of their jobs.
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Old 10-17-2021, 04:53 PM
 
8,179 posts, read 4,654,186 times
Reputation: 1665
There's a new version of the Delta variant currently causing some problems in the UK. It remains exceptionally rare anywhere else (only 2 strains found in the US so far). IMO no need for alarm about this news - however it's good to stay vigilent. For now the downtrend in FL is still firmly in place. I'll keep a close eye on it.

Tweet today from Scott Gotlieb MD:

https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/...03423906418691

"UK reported its biggest one-day Covid case increase in 3 months just as the new delta variant AY.4 with the S:Y145H mutation in the spike reaches 8% of UK sequenced cases. We need urgent research to figure out if this delta plus is more transmissible, has partial immune evasion?"

-------------------------------------------------------------

Tweet from Prof Francois Balloux:

https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/...17876414578688

"To summarise, the recent rise in the UK of AY.4.2 would be compatible with a transmissibility advantage of ~10%. As such, it feels worthwhile keeping an eye on it. Though, based on its genetic make-up, it is not a priori an obvious VoC candidate."
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Old 10-22-2021, 04:31 PM
 
8,179 posts, read 4,654,186 times
Reputation: 1665
Quote:
Originally Posted by wondermint2 View Post
The latest local weekly Covid-19 data from the FDOH for the week of October 8th - 14th:

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_pa...ata_latest.pdf

Sarasota County

Covid-19 cases = 312 (a decline of 16.1% from last week's 372 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 3.5% (a decline of 0.5% from last week's test positivity ratio of 4.0%)

Manatee County

Covid-19 cases = 332 (a decline of 31.8% from last week's 487 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 4.3% (a decline of 1.5% from last week's test positivity ratio of 5.8%)
The latest local Covid-19 data from the FDOH for the week of Oct.15th - Oct. 21st. The downtrend still remains in full force.

(However the UK is still experiencing a rise in cases which might be being triggered by the new sub-variant of Delta). Generally speaking in the past the UK has been a decent leading indicator (by several months) of what transpires in the US (See link at the bottom of this post). But as an indicator it's not perfect - so no way to know for sure if the US will be effected as the UK is now. All I can do is keep a close eye on the actual trend for our area which as of now remains firmly down.

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_pa...ata_latest.pdf

Sarasota County

Covid-19 cases = 190 (a decline of 39% from last week's 312 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 2.5% (a decline of 1.0% from last week's test positivity ratio of 3.5%)

Manatee County

Covid-19 cases = 269 (a decline of 18.97% from last week's 332 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 4.0% (a decline of 0.3% from last week's test positivity ratio of 4.3%)

----------------------------------------------------------------

As I mentioned no need for any immediate concern in the US from the new version of the Delta Plus variant - but IMO its something worth keeping an eye on.

Delta's surprise U.K. comeback is a warning sign for the U.S.

https://news.yahoo.com/deltas-surpri...090008459.html

Last edited by wondermint2; 10-22-2021 at 05:33 PM..
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Old 10-27-2021, 06:31 PM
 
37,315 posts, read 59,854,747 times
Reputation: 25341
Not enough population vaxxed
Hopefully the younger group will be vaxed so at least some of them will be protected when this Delta 4 builds up to sufficient numbers
Travel is being relaxed so it will spread…
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Old 10-29-2021, 10:15 AM
 
8,179 posts, read 4,654,186 times
Reputation: 1665
Im thinking that many of the Xlear studies that they base their claims on (regarding Covid-19) are very small - or they just address "viruses" in general. I'm not going to go on the record and say there definitely isn't any benefit to it. At least it's probably harmless.

FTC sues Utah company over COVID-19 claims

https://www.deseret.com/platform/amp...-american-fork

A Utah company, Xlear, is being sued by the Federal Trade Commission over claims its nasal sprays can stop COVID-19.

“Companies can’t make unsupported health claims, no matter what form a product takes or what it supposedly prevents or treats,” said Samuel Levine, director of the FTC’s Bureau of Consumer Protection. “That’s the lesson of this case and many others like it, and it’s why people should continue to rely on medical professionals over ads.”

The federal agency said in a news release Thursday the American Fork-based company is being sued “for violating the COVID-19 Consumer Protection Act, alleging that it falsely pitched its saline nasal sprays as an effective way to prevent and treat COVID-19.”

The civil penalty complaint filed in U.S. District Court of Utah by the U.S. Department of Justice on behalf of the FTC asks a federal court to impose monetary penalties against Xlear, Inc. and its owner and “bar them from continuing to make such false and unsupported claims,” the agency said.

The FTC release said Xlear conducted no clinical trials to support its claims and “its advertising grossly misrepresented the purported findings and relevance of several scientific studies.”
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Old 10-29-2021, 04:58 PM
 
8,179 posts, read 4,654,186 times
Reputation: 1665
Quote:
Originally Posted by wondermint2 View Post
The latest local Covid-19 data from the FDOH for the week of Oct.15th - Oct. 21st. The downtrend still remains in full force.

(However the UK is still experiencing a rise in cases which might be being triggered by the new sub-variant of Delta). Generally speaking in the past the UK has been a decent leading indicator (by several months) of what transpires in the US (See link at the bottom of this post). But as an indicator it's not perfect - so no way to know for sure if the US will be effected as the UK is now. All I can do is keep a close eye on the actual trend for our area which as of now remains firmly down.

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_pa...ata_latest.pdf

Sarasota County

Covid-19 cases = 190 (a decline of 39% from last week's 312 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 2.5% (a decline of 1.0% from last week's test positivity ratio of 3.5%)

Manatee County

Covid-19 cases = 269 (a decline of 18.97% from last week's 332 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 4.0% (a decline of 0.3% from last week's test positivity ratio of 4.3%)

----------------------------------------------------------------

As I mentioned no need for any immediate concern in the US from the new version of the Delta Plus variant - but IMO its something worth keeping an eye on.

Delta's surprise U.K. comeback is a warning sign for the U.S.

https://news.yahoo.com/deltas-surpri...090008459.html
The latest weekly data from the FDOH for the week of October 22 - October 28. There still is no indication of any problem brewing now based on the trendline or the indicators.

I want to be clear that (at this juncture) I'm not "predicting" that the new Delta Plus variant will cause a big problem in Florida. Some scientists suggest that it might be about 10% more transmissible than the original Delta variant - this isn't confirmed yet - but even if it is it's not a huge jump (compared to the increase Delta had over Alpha and the original strain). My best hunch right now is that well see a minor bump up in the trend around Christmas/New Year's holidays - but it wont turn out to be a major wave.

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_pa...ata_latest.pdf

Sarasota County

Covid-19 cases = 178 (a decline of 6.3% from last week's 190 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 2.4% (a decline of 0.1% from last week's test positivity ratio of 2.5%)

Manatee County

Covid-19 cases = 222 (a decline of 17.47% from last week's 269 Covid-19 cases)

Test Positivity Ratio = 3.3% (a decline of 0.7% from last week's test positivity ratio of 4.0%)
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Old 11-02-2021, 03:09 PM
 
67 posts, read 54,427 times
Reputation: 125
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Old 11-12-2021, 05:00 PM
 
8,179 posts, read 4,654,186 times
Reputation: 1665
Hi all. I haven't posted about Covid in a while so I just wanted to provide an update. Florida along with Sarasota & Manatee Counties are still looking good at the moment. There are currently some concerns about other states/areas in the USA - along with parts of Europe that are seeing rising cases.


As a whole the decline in Covid cases in the USA has come to a halt and started to reverse upwards. Generally speaking areas that didn't get hit hard in the summer are now seeing cases starting to rise. But that doesn't necessarily mean that they're going to see a major spike.


For Florida along with Sarasota & Manatee Counties I'm seeing some very early indications that the trend could be rounding into a bottom. For the first time in many weeks Sarasota & Manatee Counties had an increase in cases (albeit a very small increase). For Manatee County for the week of Nov. 5 - 11 cases increased by 9.03% - and for Sarasota County cases increased by 1.31%. (Testing declined slightly for the week). Hospitalizations also inched up slightly in both counties by about 15% (from very low levels).


This doesn't mean that Florida is going to launch into a big new wave up. The trend could remain relatively flat through the winter. As of now I'm going to stick with my hunch (from my Oct. 29th post) that Florida will see a minor bump up in the trend by Christmas / New Years.


Here's a couple links of interest. (This is an opinion piece from Dr. Topol - keep in mind that the USA is a very big country and not homogenous in the way Covid spreads - so this doesn't specifically apply to Florida):


Covid cases are surging in Europe. America is in denial about what lies in store for it

https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...america-denial



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Is this the fifth COVID-19 wave? Experts fear we may simply come to call it 'winter'


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/is...ter/ar-AAQCy3S


For the first time in two months, COVID-19 case counts and deaths are rising again in most U.S. states, especially in the northern tier and Rocky Mountains, according to a USA TODAY analysis of Johns Hopkins University data.


In the week ending Wednesday, case counts were higher in 29 states than they were the week before. A month ago, cases were rising in just 12 states.


Hospitalizations also are up. Compared to a week earlier, hospitals in 23 states reported a rising number of likely COVID-19 patients; hospitals in 19 states reported more patients in the intensive care units.

Last edited by wondermint2; 11-12-2021 at 05:17 PM..
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Old 11-13-2021, 09:45 AM
 
8,179 posts, read 4,654,186 times
Reputation: 1665
Florida Legislature to impose new COVID rules for businesses despite legal hurdles

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...les/ar-AAQE8An

Florida legislators will convene a week-long special session Monday to pass new regulations on businesses that require employees to get vaccinated for COVID-19.

The proposals do not ban vaccination requirements but will impose five new exemptions for employees who don’t want a vaccination, all but one of which mirrors a federal rule.

Under the proposed HB 1 and SB 2, businesses may require employees to be vaccinated as long as they also offer the following opt-outs to employees:

▪ A medical note from a doctor stating the person is pregnant or expecting to be pregnant or has another health issue.

▪ They can claim a religious exemption.

▪ If they have “immunity” to COVID and have a “competent medical test” to show it.

▪ If they’re undergoing “periodic testing” at “no cost to the employee.”

▪ If the employee wears employer-provided “personal protective equipment” (such as masks).

However, one big hurdle stands in the way of the legislation becoming law in Florida: A series of federal rules pushed by the Biden administration.

The federal government is requiring that any business that contracts with the federal government vaccinate its employees. The Occupational Safety and Health Administration is requiring that employees working for private companies of more than 100 employees be vaccinated unless they can claim a religious or medical exemption or agree to be tested weekly. And healthcare providers that receive Medicare or Medicaid funding also must vaccinate every employee, unless they can claim the same exemptions.

DeSantis, like governors in a dozen other states, is challenging the federal rules. A federal court has temporarily stopped the provision relating to private employers, but a final ruling could take months.

The result is an inevitable clash. If Florida legislators pass the new restrictions, they could put many businesses in the crosshairs of a legal firefight between the state and federal government.

“It’s like a tug of war, and the employer is the rope,” said David Miller, a labor and employment lawyer in Miami.

Some employers have already imposed their own vaccine requirements for workers, Miller said. But if the Legislature enacts new requirements, he’ll advise clients to comply. If the OSHA requirements stand, then he would advise clients covered by it to obey the federal rule because federal law generally trumps state law.

“The federal law will override the state law,’’ said Sen. Jeff Brandes, R-St. Petersburg. “They have to follow whatever law is in effect and, if they conflict, then they follow the superior law’’ which, under the Supremacy Clause of the U.S. Constitution, is the federal law.
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