Coronavirus positives in Bradenton and Hillsborough Counties (Tampa, Tallahassee: middle-class, calculation)
Sarasota - Bradenton - Venice areaManatee and Sarasota Counties
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Weeks after she was fired in mid-May, Jones has now found a way to present the state’s coronavirus data exactly the way she wants it: She created a dashboard of her own.
“I wanted to build an application that delivered data and helped people get tested and helped them get resources that they need from their community,” Jones, 30, said of the site that launched Thursday. “And that’s what I ended up building with this new dashboard.”
Despite the differences between the state’s dashboard and Jones’s dashboard, Jones’s site relies on the health department’s data. She said she wrote code that pulls information from various reports on the department’s website and presents the data in a way that she believes adds more context. Her dashboard also incorporates data from hospitals and from a volunteer organization that maps coronavirus testing sites.
On Jones’s dashboard, the number of people tested is significantly lower than the official figure. She said the state’s number is actually a tally of the number of samples taken — not the number of people tested. Her dashboard said Florida had tested 895,947 people as of Friday evening, whereas the state dashboard listed the number of people tested as more than 1.3 million.
Jones’s death toll is slightly higher because she counts nonresidents who died while they were in Florida, while the state does not. States take varied approaches in accounting for nonresidents who die there, as well as for residents who die while out of state.
The case count on Jones’s dashboard is also higher because it includes people who have tested positive for antibodies, or proteins that indicate that the virus has been in someone’s body. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has warned that antibody tests are not foolproof and that a higher percentage of positive results may be incorrect in areas where few people have had the virus.
In Jones’s eyes, the divergences from the state’s data site were necessary.
“If you’re creating something that simply presents a very narrow view of a situation that’s complex and nuanced but affects everybody’s lives, then you’re not enabling them to take action, to take some semblance of control over what they’re going through,” she said of the state health department’s dashboard.
"Florida’s Department of Health on Saturday morning reported a new daily record high of 2,581 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 — surpassing the previous high by 679. The previous high was hit on Friday. And the high before that was hit on Thursday."
-----------------------------------------------
I looked at the data over the past two days for Sarasota and Manatee Counties. Unfortunately it appears as though Manatee County is having some kind of COVID-19 beakout. Manatee County has seen 97 new cases over the past two days. There have been 1382 tests for this period - so the test positivity rate for the past two days is a high 7%. This is a big increase over previous days - so the increase in cases can't be explained as simply being due to more testing. IMO it would actually be better (although nothing is good) if the increase was isolated to a nursing home versus general community spread. As of now I haven't been able to find any information along these regards.
As of today the past two days look much better for Sarasota County. There have been 27 new cases and 1995 tests for a low test positivity rate of 1.3%.
Also IMO it's troubling that Florida has stopped updating the weekly hospitalization graphs in their PDF file. The last update was on May 31st - so there should of been an update for June 7th. This just happens to be the time period when the COVID-19 cases started a sharp upward spike in Florida.
Last edited by wondermint2; 06-13-2020 at 02:14 PM..
Doctors pointed to five factors, when considering how risky a given activity might be: Whether it’s inside or outside; proximity to others; exposure time; likelihood of compliance; and personal risk level. The list assigns a score for activities from 1 to 10, with a 10 being the riskiest and a 1 being the least risky. The score is an average of scores given by the health experts, rounded to the nearest whole number.
"The Florida Dept. of Health reported over 2,000 more positive cases of COVID-19 for the second day in a row Sunday.
Florida has seen an increase of over 1,000 cases of coronavirus in 11 of the last 12 days. The health department reported the largest spike and first 2,000-plus case count Saturday when the state reported 2,581 cases.
As of Saturday, the percent of those testing positive for COVID-19 overall remains 5 percent, FDOH says."
"Hospitalizations rose by 168, pushing the total who have been hospitalized to 11,874 since the crisis began. Seen on a seven-day rolling basis, they’d been on a steady decline until this week when they began to rise again, though slightly."
-------------------------------------------
According to the Bradenton Herald there was no outbreak in a nursing home over the past two days in Manatee County (when a surge of new Covid-19 cases occurred in Manatee County):
"Manatee County saw its second-largest spike since the outbreak with 44 new cases, according to the Florida Department’s of Health’s Saturday morning update. Manatee County saw its largest spike on Friday with 56 new cases. For the second day in a row, the DOH is reporting no new cases in long-term care facilities in Manatee County."
-------------------------------------
Today's numbers for Manatee County look better than the past 2 days. There was 28 new cases and 1443 tests for a test positve rate of 1.9%.
Sarasota County has seen an uptick in new cases over the past two days (43 new cases) - however the test positive rate remains low (around 1.5%)
Also the FDH finally updated the weekly hospitalization graphs for (May 31 - June 7) - and Sarasota County had declining hospitalizations for both Flu and Covid-19 symptoms. Manatee County had a slight rise in hospitalizations for flu symptoms but a decline for Covid-19 symptoms.
Last edited by wondermint2; 06-14-2020 at 02:39 PM..
Manatee County saw 44 new Covid-19 cases added today. Also the daily % of EB visits for cough related symptoms that resulted in hospitalizations began to spike up to 2% on June 10th. For context on June 9th it was 0%, and previous peaks occurred on March 20th (at 3%), and between April 14 - 21 it was 2.5%. (This is for Manatee County).
The Florida Department of Health announced 1,758 new cases of COVID-19 in the state Monday.
Sarasota County has 780 cases and 91 deaths. Manatee County has 1,421 cases and 115 deaths. 446 of the cases in Manatee are related to long-term care facilities. Sarasota added 93 new cases from June 8-14, compared to 45 the previous week, while testing dropped by 20.7%. Manatee added 195 new cases from June 8-14, compared to 154 the previous week, while testing dropped by 14%
The Food and Drug Administration said Monday it is ending its emergency use authorization for chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine, the anti-malaria drugs backed by President Donald Trump to combat Covid-19.
The agency determined the drugs were "unlikely to be effective in treating COVID-19 for the authorized uses in the EUA."
"Additionally, in light of ongoing serious cardiac adverse events and other serious side effects, the known and potential benefits of CQ and HCQ no longer outweigh the known and potential risks for the authorized use," the FDA wrote in its notice Monday.
The Food and Drug Administration said Monday it is ending its emergency use authorization for chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine, the anti-malaria drugs backed by President Donald Trump to combat Covid-19.
The agency determined the drugs were "unlikely to be effective in treating COVID-19 for the authorized uses in the EUA."
"Additionally, in light of ongoing serious cardiac adverse events and other serious side effects, the known and potential benefits of CQ and HCQ no longer outweigh the known and potential risks for the authorized use," the FDA wrote in its notice Monday.
This is just my own personal view - but I'm envisioning a scenario with a "rushed" vaccine to be granted "emergency use" status by the FDA (under pressure from the White House) sometime this fall. To coincide with this we will see the stock market soar, Trump's approval ratings improve in the polls before the election in November, etc, etc. However down the road (and after further review) the efficacy of the vaccine will come into question by experts. I won't be one of the first one's rushing to get a vaccine - especially if it's approved only for "emergency use"....
"President Donald Trump has promised that there will be a coronavirus vaccine before the year is out. But public health experts are growing increasingly worried that the White House will pressure regulators to approve the first vaccine candidate to show promise — without proof that it provides effective, reliable protection against the virus.
Drugmakers and health agencies have already begun rewriting the rules of vaccine research, launching candidates into clinical trials at record speed in search of a pandemic-ending shot. Data on the vaccines’ safety is already trickling in. But no candidate is yet ready for the final step of the development process: a months-long trial in tens of thousands of volunteers to prove once and for all whether the shot works.
That tight timing, coupled with the high-pressure political environment, has experts concerned that the Food and Drug Administration could grant emergency-use authorization to one or more vaccines before clinical trials have definitively determined whether they can prevent infection. Taking that step also could make millions of doses available outside of clinical trials, making it hard to enroll enough people in the trials to get the data ultimately needed to show the vaccine works. It could also squeeze other — potentially better — candidates out of the market."
Last edited by wondermint2; 06-15-2020 at 11:45 PM..
"Facing the sharp reality of a scenario public officials warned about — rapidly rising new cases of the coronavirus as Central Florida’s economy reopens — Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings wrestled Monday with how to intervene and prevent infections from overwhelming hospitals.
Demings said he was not yet worried enough to shut down businesses or order residents to stay home again because hospitals still have room to take more patients, but warned a second round of more drastic restrictions was possible if the numbers keep rising."
wondermint2 .... thank you for your posts in this thread. You are my go-to source for comprehensive and unbiased information about COVID-19 in Florida.
I also look at a web source from the BBC to see statistics about the global impact of the pandemic: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-51235105
Scroll partway down the page to see an animated graph entitled "How confirmed cases of coronavirus have spread". It shows how the virus has spread through different countries since January. It is scary to see how the USA has by far the highest number of coronavirus cases in the world.
The Florida Department of Health announced 2,783 new cases of COVID-19 in the state on Tuesday, the largest single-day increase since the pandemic began, topping the previous record on Saturday..
The number of new coronavirus cases and hospitalizations and the positive test rate rose last week in both Sarasota and Manatee counties, corresponding with a rise in the daily number of new cases statewide.
Manatee County recorded 190 new cases last week, the largest weekly total since the outbreak began. There were 52 coronavirus cases confirmed in Manatee on June 11, which was a single-day record for new cases in the county. The record was broken again Monday, when Manatee had 73 new cases confirmed.
Manatee already has 105 new cases over the first two days of this week.
“I just don’t think our citizens are taking it seriously and they’re not being responsible to their local citizens,” said Manatee County Commissioner Carol Whitmore, adding: “It’s very discouraging.”
Sarasota County had 80 new cases last week, the most for a seven-day stretch since early May. The 21 new Sarasota cases confirmed on Saturday is the county’s second largest single-day total.
Testing declined in both counties last week, even as the number of new cases rose. The positive test rate also is ticking up in the two-county region.
In Manatee County, 4% of those tested last week were positive, the highest positive test rate for a one-week period since the first full week of May.
Sarasota County’s positive test rate increased to 1.5% last week after bottoming out the week before at 0.6%.
Both counties still have a relatively low positive test rate, but the rising rates — along with spikes in new cases and hospitalizations — are notable.
Manatee County had 14 new hospitalizations for COVID-19 last week, the most since early May and double the week before.
Whitmore said she spoke with local hospital leaders Tuesday and they said “they have things under control” right now, but she worries about the upward trend in new cases. She wants to see a major public education campaign encouraging people to take precautions.
“I understand the economic ramifications but if we have a major influx again these businesses are going to close and it’s going to be devastating,” Whitmore said.
Sarasota County had three new hospitalizations last week, up from one the week before.
Sarasota Memorial Hospital was up to 19 patients hospitalized on Monday. That’s well below the peak of 43 on May 10 and May 11. But the hospital’s coronavirus cases have been creeping up after dropping to 10 on June 1.
--------------------------------------
I looked at the Covid -19 test positive rates over the past 5 days for both Sarasota and Manatee Counties. First of all it's becoming very clear that Manatee County is harder hit than Sarasota County - and IMO the trend for Manatee County is troubling. Also even though the amount of hospitalizations are not yet overwhelming - this is a lagging indicator (to new cases) and hospitalizations are also trending upward.
So what we have is a new one day record of 62 new cases in Manatee County reported today (in the FDH PDF file). The one day positivity rate for these 62 new cases is a high 9.4%. Looking at the 5-day totals there were 4333 tests and 228 positive cases - this gives us a 5-day test positivity ratio of 5.3%. The WHO recommends the test positivity rate be below 5%. Also IMO it's troubling the weekly positivity ratio has been on a steady rise.
For Sarasota County over the past 5 days there were 4566 tests and 75 positive cases giving us a test positivity rate of 1.6%. So IMO while the absolute test positivity rate is low and not in itself troubling - the weekly trend is increasing and it needs to be watched closely.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
