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Old 11-15-2019, 06:23 PM
 
Location: Seattle
8,171 posts, read 8,304,797 times
Reputation: 5991

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"Western Washington could endure some extreme weather this winter, which could potentially include more lowland snow. Now is the time to prepare for a season of strong storms.

This year, we’re not expecting an El Niño or La Niña pattern. Instead, we’re in what’s called a “neutral phase.” There isn’t a solid, well-established relationship between local weather conditions and a neutral winter. Btu experts note that storms which do occur in these kinds of set-ups can be quite intense.

UW Professor Cliff Mass warns that weather in a neutral year can be wild."

Link here: https://komonews.com/news/local/time...tSin4Bwr9bL0kU
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Old 11-15-2019, 07:59 PM
 
Location: The Emerald City
1,696 posts, read 5,193,183 times
Reputation: 804
Fake news.....

Its been one of the driest Novembers on record. I predict an extremely mild winter, with the possibility of ONE snowstorm in February. We need to start a pool, for when the snow will fall.
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Old 11-15-2019, 08:11 PM
 
Location: WA Desert, Seattle native
9,398 posts, read 8,884,129 times
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The Weather Channel national projections show a warm and drier winter in the PNW this season. They are not always right, however.

https://www.google.com/search?q=wint...hrome&ie=UTF-8
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Old 11-15-2019, 09:16 PM
 
Location: The Emerald City
1,696 posts, read 5,193,183 times
Reputation: 804
Quote:
Originally Posted by pnwguy2 View Post
The Weather Channel national projections show a warm and drier winter in the PNW this season. They are not always right, however.

https://www.google.com/search?q=wint...hrome&ie=UTF-8
Case in point!

Im taking 2 boxes. February 3rd and February 21st.
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Old 11-15-2019, 09:18 PM
 
Location: Juneau, AK + Puna, HI
10,561 posts, read 7,763,547 times
Reputation: 16058
NOAA climate prediction center has the entire country warmer than average this winter, with the exception of upper Midwest. They have color coded maps for temperature and precipitation outlooks.
Once again Alaska is expected to lead the way with excellent chances for above average temps. Perhaps it’s the new normal.
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Old 11-15-2019, 09:18 PM
 
Location: Seattle area
9,182 posts, read 12,130,809 times
Reputation: 6405
Quote:
Originally Posted by homesinseattle View Post
"Western Washington could endure some extreme weather this winter, which could potentially include more lowland snow. Now is the time to prepare for a season of strong storms.

This year, we’re not expecting an El Niño or La Niña pattern. Instead, we’re in what’s called a “neutral phase.” There isn’t a solid, well-established relationship between local weather conditions and a neutral winter. Btu experts note that storms which do occur in these kinds of set-ups can be quite intense.

UW Professor Cliff Mass warns that weather in a neutral year can be wild."

Link here: https://komonews.com/news/local/time...tSin4Bwr9bL0kU
Nobody can predict 3 months in advance. Typical sensationalism.
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Old 11-15-2019, 09:57 PM
 
Location: WA Desert, Seattle native
9,398 posts, read 8,884,129 times
Reputation: 8812
Cliff Mass tends to go against the grain quite a bit. However, with weather, he always has a shot of being correct since weather is so unpredictable.

This late fall/early winter is starting out moderate, but like last February we all realize it can change on a dime. Though my hunch is last February was somewhat an aberration.
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Old 11-15-2019, 10:51 PM
 
Location: The Emerald City
1,696 posts, read 5,193,183 times
Reputation: 804
Quote:
Originally Posted by pnwguy2 View Post
Cliff Mass tends to go against the grain quite a bit. However, with weather, he always has a shot of being correct since weather is so unpredictable.

This late fall/early winter is starting out moderate, but like last February we all realize it can change on a dime. Though my hunch is last February was somewhat an aberration.
I feel ya. February is my greatest hunch for snow in any region.

And I hope it does! Kids in my hood had a blast! Im next door to hilly power lines trail and the kids made a killer downhill sled-jump which I have plenty of photos of and most of them requested me to text the photos. It sucks about the lack of plowing of roads because most businesses tend to just shut down till its clear. Adapt and overcome I always say. IMHO it's just another plus for Searrle area.

Last edited by 41Willys; 11-15-2019 at 11:00 PM..
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Old 11-15-2019, 11:10 PM
 
Location: Portal to the Pacific
8,736 posts, read 8,671,426 times
Reputation: 13007
Crap-tastic reporting.

Here is what Cliff really says about extended forecasts:

[url]https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2019/10/extended-forecasts-are-not-reliable.html[/url]

While you're at it check out his latest post titled "A Little Rain, Followed by the Big Dry" Here is a sentence from it:

"let's call it the big dry. Very unusual considering the time of the year--with the last two weeks of the November being the wettest climatologically for our region"

There is no mention of "extreme weather" other than it being abnormally warm and dry. It COULD get wild at some point, but I direct your attention to my second line. And then we go in circles.

I ignore the news for the most part, but today I learned about the fires in Australia (poor Koalas) and Venice flooding and we're not so seasonal ourselves and I'm like, "okay, sure... we've talked about this before..."
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Old 11-15-2019, 11:36 PM
 
Location: Seattle
3,573 posts, read 2,883,162 times
Reputation: 7265
Quote:
Originally Posted by 41Willys View Post
Case in point!

Im taking 2 boxes. February 3rd and February 21st.
My first two picks!

Okay, mark me Feb 14th and Feb 25th!
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