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If the current effort to destroy SS succeeds, it will throw millions of senior citizens into abject penury. The bottom line is, if you are over 65 you will probably be a deader. That's about as SHTF as it gets.
you dont really need social security. you can just roll those seniors into ebt, medicaid, welfare, etc.
Hurricane response 'experience'. Urban areas it's less, around 10 days. As you get more and more out of town (further from a substation) they're generally the last for restoration. Utilities restore based on how many customers and the ease of restoration first. However if you're on a marine/underwater cable radial , all bets are off. If that cable failed it's a problem.
Just personal experience from 50+ hurricane responses from Texas to North Carolina.
OK, that is fair. I was going by my experience in watching how fast human behavior degrades, as well as how many people would be out of food and water, and off their meds. Also, you were looking at situations where the outage was local and I was looking at super-regional outage.
Local: typically less than 60 mile radius, and Fema will arrive to mitigate infrastructure disruption.
Super-regional: More than 600 mile radius, and Fema, nor any other organization, will be able to mitigate the impact.
Extended power outage... what's the time range for "extended"? Puerto Rico had it's whole system rebuilt in a year. Our system is much more robust.
and much more completed. PR didn't have to replace MAJOR transformers.....It takes over a year to replace a 10000kva transformer and they come from overseas in most cases...
and much more completed. PR didn't have to replace MAJOR transformers.....It takes over a year to replace a 10000kva transformer and they come from overseas in most cases...
We did a 720 MVA GSU in 22 days from failure to in service
If anyone is wondering what a collapse might look like, this is one of the best researched and balanced video series I have ever come across.
Easy to follow, not too much blood and gore, but enough that it isn't candy coated. https://www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...wNCZ_VduBWy21C
The premise that the transformers will "over heat" and therefore fail is wrong. Transformer protection schemes are much more sophisticated than that.
Yes the transformers would/could be disabled... but the return to service would be days assuming the core/windings weren't compromised. I recall a 300MVA auto transformer that was shot up. The tx went into alarm and the troubleman showed up and plugged the bullet holes with a broom stick handle. He called the substation and they came out and added oil and the tx remained in service the entire time.
If the current effort to destroy SS succeeds, it will throw millions of senior citizens into abject penury. The bottom line is, if you are over 65 you will probably be a deader. That's about as SHTF as it gets.
Again - what is the 'current effort to destroy Social Security'....?
Extended power outage... what's the time range for "extended"? Puerto Rico had it's whole system rebuilt in a year. Our system is much more robust.
People are scared of the dark. This is particularly bad because we have a whole population that has never been in the dark in their lives. Remember the horror stories that came out of the Superdome after Katrina? There was some hooting in the dark, which triggered stories of rape and murder. Nobody was getting hurt, and the worst damage was that the toilets filled up. Yuk.
During a power outage, city people head for the streets because vehicles have lights. The next day the sun comes up like normal. Without communications, the worst that happens is that you have to talk to strangers, you know, the people next door?
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